Charlotte vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Charlotte - Orlando City
Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 3
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.682.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (244/297)90% (537/600)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.682.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.57
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2136
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (244/297)90% (537/600)
Long passes
48% (26/54)71% (42/59)
Passes in final third
77% (85/111)79% (135/170)
Crosses
23% (3/13)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.64
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1512
Tackles
64% (9/14)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3554
Clearances
2613
Interceptions
132
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.571.54
Goals prevented
0.58-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Biel P. , Scardina N. (A), Tuiloma B. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 64', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Tuiloma B. , Biel P. (A),
  • 66', Thorhallsson D. , Angulo I. ,
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
  • 71', Diani D. , Smalls T. ,
  • 75', Jansson R. 🟨,
  • 78', Jansson R. , Smith K. ,
  • 80', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Pasalic M. , Muriel L. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 84', Tuiloma B. , Privett A. ,
  • 90+6', Araujo C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
33%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Charlotte - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.42)
    3.71
    (3.66)
    2.34
    (2.75)
    4.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Charlotte - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.
    • Charlotte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Agyemang P. (International duty) Ream T. (International duty) Zaha W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Orlando City were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Orlando City - Charlotte 3:1
    09.11.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:1
    01.11.2024 Charlotte - Orlando City 1:0
    27.10.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    18.09.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)