Charlotte vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 3
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.682.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (244/297)90% (537/600)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.682.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.57
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2136
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (244/297)90% (537/600)
Long passes
48% (26/54)71% (42/59)
Passes in final third
77% (85/111)79% (135/170)
Crosses
23% (3/13)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.64
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1512
Tackles
64% (9/14)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3554
Clearances
2613
Interceptions
132
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.571.54
Goals prevented
0.58-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Biel P. , Scardina N. (A), Tuiloma B. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 64', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Tuiloma B. , Biel P. (A),
  • 66', Thorhallsson D. , Angulo I. ,
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
  • 71', Diani D. , Smalls T. ,
  • 75', Jansson R. 🟨,
  • 78', Jansson R. , Smith K. ,
  • 80', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Pasalic M. , Muriel L. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 84', Tuiloma B. , Privett A. ,
  • 90+6', Araujo C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
33%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Charlotte - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.42)
    3.71
    (3.66)
    2.34
    (2.75)
    4.8%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Charlotte - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Charlotte (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.
    • Charlotte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Agyemang P. (International duty) Ream T. (International duty) Zaha W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Orlando City were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Orlando City - Charlotte 3:1
    09.11.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:1
    01.11.2024 Charlotte - Orlando City 1:0
    27.10.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    18.09.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

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