Charlotte vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Charlotte - Orlando City
Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 3
usaUsaFox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.682.28
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (244/297)90% (537/600)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.682.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.57
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2136
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (244/297)90% (537/600)
Long passes
48% (26/54)71% (42/59)
Passes in final third
77% (85/111)79% (135/170)
Crosses
23% (3/13)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.64
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1512
Tackles
64% (9/14)53% (9/17)
Duels won
3554
Clearances
2613
Interceptions
132
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.571.54
Goals prevented
0.58-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Biel P. , Scardina N. (A), Tuiloma B. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 49', Toklomati I. 🟨,
  • 64', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Tuiloma B. , Biel P. (A),
  • 66', Thorhallsson D. , Angulo I. ,
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
  • 71', Diani D. , Smalls T. ,
  • 75', Jansson R. 🟨,
  • 78', Jansson R. , Smith K. ,
  • 80', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Pasalic M. , Muriel L. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 84', Tuiloma B. , Privett A. ,
  • 90+6', Araujo C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
33%
Draw
25.7%
Orlando City
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 26% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Charlotte - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (2.42)
    3.71
    (3.66)
    2.34
    (2.75)
    4.8%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Charlotte - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%78.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.
    • Charlotte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Agyemang P. (International duty) Ream T. (International duty) Zaha W. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Orlando City were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Orlando City - Charlotte 3:1
    09.11.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:1
    01.11.2024 Charlotte - Orlando City 1:0
    27.10.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    18.09.2024 Orlando City - Charlotte 2:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)