St. Louis City vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.902.20
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3439
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
19
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Long passes
56% (22/39)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
73% (124/169)86% (151/176)
Crosses
38% (8/21)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.292.42
Throw-ins
156
Fouls
91
Tackles
47% (7/15)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
2.201.90
Goals prevented
-1.80-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Angulo I. (A2)
  • 9', 0 - 2, Pasalic M. ,
  • 22', 0 - 3, Enrique R. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 3, Becher S. , Totland T. (A), Burki R. (A2)
  • 45+3', 2 - 3, Joao Klauss ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Watts A. , Morales A. ,
  • 67', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 68', Angulo I. , Muriel L. ,
  • 68', Totland T. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 69', Teuchert C. , Wallem C. ,
  • 76', Becher S. , McSorley B. ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Pasalic M. ,
  • 83', Baumgartl T. , Wentzel M. ,
  • 84', Pasalic M. , Taifi Z. ,
  • 90', Wentzel M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ojeda M. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 90+1', Enrique R. , Rodriguez N. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
34%
Draw
25.6%
Orlando City
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 25.6% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • St. Louis City - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.95)
    3.7
    (3.72)
    2.35
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - St. Louis City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Orlando City (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Orlando City (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Orlando City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 40%). Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Wallem C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Orlando City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)