Orlando City vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	0.55
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
88% (468/529)	81% (301/371)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.76	0.70
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
27	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
88% (468/529)	81% (301/371)
Long passes
45% (14/31)	37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
85% (153/180)	70% (74/105)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.00	0.44
Throw-ins
14	8
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
42	61
Clearances
7	36
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.70	0.76
Goals prevented
-1.30	-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Flores G. 🟨,
45', Yedlin D. 🟨,
45', Pasalic M. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Angulo I. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
54', Enrique R. 🟨,
61', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
70', Schlegel R. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Evander ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
80', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
80', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
83', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
83', Evander ↓, Baird C. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Pasalic M. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
90', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
90+5', Brekalo D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Orlando City
49%

Draw
25.3%

Cincinnati
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Orlando City - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.19)	3.72 ↑ (3.32)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)	5.3% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Orlando City - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Cincinnati?

Orlando City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Orlando City?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Cincinnati were as follows:

05.10.2024 Cincinnati - Orlando City 1:3

04.05.2024 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:1

02.09.2023 Cincinnati - Orlando City 0:1

04.03.2023 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:0

Latest results of Orlando City

25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺

14.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Orlando City 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 1:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Atlanta United - Orlando City 3:2 ✺

24.05.2025 Orlando City - Portland Timbers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Cincinnati - DC United 1:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	25	14	4	7	48:32	16	46
2	Vancouver Whitecaps	24	13	6	5	42:26	16	45
3	Minnesota United	25	12	8	5	42:28	14	44
4	Seattle Sounders	24	10	8	6	39:35	4	38
5	Portland Timbers	24	10	7	7	33:32	1	37
6	Los Angeles FC	22	10	6	6	39:28	11	36
7	Austin FC	23	9	6	8	21:26	-5	33
8	Real Salt Lake	24	9	4	11	26:30	-4	31
9	Colorado Rapids	25	8	6	11	31:39	-8	30
10	San Jose Earthquakes	25	7	8	10	47:44	3	29
11	Houston Dynamo	24	7	6	11	30:39	-9	27
12	FC Dallas	24	6	7	11	35:45	-10	25
13	Sporting Kansas City	24	6	6	12	36:45	-9	24
14	St. Louis City	24	4	6	14	24:40	-16	18
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	24	3	7	14	28:48	-20	16

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	25	15	5	5	43:24	19	50
2	FC Cincinnati	25	15	4	6	39:31	8	49
3	Nashville SC	25	14	5	6	42:26	16	47
4	Columbus Crew	25	12	8	5	41:36	5	44
5	Inter Miami	22	12	6	4	49:34	15	42
6	Orlando City	25	11	8	6	46:33	13	41
7	Charlotte	25	12	2	11	43:39	4	38
8	New York City	24	11	5	8	34:29	5	38
9	Chicago Fire	24	10	5	9	45:40	5	35
10	New York Red Bulls	25	9	6	10	39:36	3	33
11	New England Revolution	24	6	7	11	31:35	-4	25
12	Toronto FC	24	5	6	13	25:32	-7	21
13	Atlanta Utd	24	4	9	11	29:45	-16	21
14	DC United	25	4	7	14	22:49	-27	19
15	CF Montreal	25	4	6	15	23:46	-23	18

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)