Orlando City vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	0.55
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
88% (468/529)	81% (301/371)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.76	0.70
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
10	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
27	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
88% (468/529)	81% (301/371)
Long passes
45% (14/31)	37% (17/46)
Passes in final third
85% (153/180)	70% (74/105)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.00	0.44
Throw-ins
14	8
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
70% (14/20)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
42	61
Clearances
7	36
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.70	0.76
Goals prevented
-1.30	-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Flores G. 🟨,
45', Yedlin D. 🟨,
45', Pasalic M. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Angulo I. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
54', Enrique R. 🟨,
61', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
70', Schlegel R. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Evander ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
80', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
80', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
83', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
83', Evander ↓, Baird C. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Pasalic M. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
90', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
90+5', Brekalo D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Orlando City
49%

Draw
25.3%

Cincinnati
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Orlando City - Cincinnati Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.19)	3.72 ↑ (3.32)	3.64 ↑ (3.38)	5.3% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Orlando City - Cincinnati?

Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Cincinnati?

Orlando City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Orlando City?

Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Cincinnati were as follows:

05.10.2024 Cincinnati - Orlando City 1:3

04.05.2024 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:1

02.09.2023 Cincinnati - Orlando City 0:1

04.03.2023 Orlando City - Cincinnati 0:0

Latest results of Orlando City

25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺

14.06.2025 Colorado Rapids - Orlando City 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Orlando City - Chicago Fire 1:3 ✺

28.05.2025 Atlanta United - Orlando City 3:2 ✺

24.05.2025 Orlando City - Portland Timbers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Cincinnati

25.06.2025 CF Montréal - Cincinnati 1:3 ✺

14.06.2025 New England Revolution - Cincinnati 0:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Cincinnati - DC United 1:2 ✺

28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Atlanta United - Cincinnati 4:2 ✺

MLS Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	San Diego FC	28	16	5	7	52:33	19	53
2	Minnesota United	28	14	8	6	47:31	16	50
3	Vancouver Whitecaps	27	14	7	6	47:31	16	49
4	Seattle Sounders	27	12	8	7	48:38	10	44
5	Los Angeles FC	25	11	8	6	44:31	13	41
6	Portland Timbers	27	10	8	9	35:37	-2	38
7	Colorado Rapids	28	10	6	12	36:44	-8	36
8	San Jose Earthquakes	28	9	8	11	52:48	4	35
9	Austin FC	26	9	8	9	26:32	-6	35
10	Real Salt Lake	27	9	4	14	28:36	-8	31
11	FC Dallas	27	7	9	11	39:47	-8	30
12	Houston Dynamo	27	7	8	12	34:44	-10	29
13	Sporting Kansas City	27	6	6	15	39:55	-16	24
14	St. Louis City	27	5	6	16	31:47	-16	21
15	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	4	7	16	32:55	-23	19

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Philadelphia Union	28	16	6	6	48:26	22	54
2	FC Cincinnati	28	16	4	8	42:35	7	52
3	Nashville SC	28	15	5	8	49:32	17	50
4	Charlotte	28	15	2	11	46:39	7	47
5	Orlando City	28	13	8	7	54:40	14	47
6	Inter Miami	25	13	7	5	54:40	14	46
7	Columbus Crew	27	12	9	6	43:39	4	45
8	New York City	26	13	5	8	37:30	7	44
9	New York Red Bulls	28	11	6	11	42:38	4	39
10	Chicago Fire	27	11	6	10	50:48	2	39
11	New England Revolution	27	8	7	12	35:38	-3	31
12	Toronto FC	27	5	9	13	27:34	-7	24
13	CF Montreal	28	5	8	15	28:50	-22	23
14	Atlanta Utd	27	4	11	12	31:49	-18	23
15	DC United	28	4	9	15	24:53	-29	21

Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)