Result
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (468/529) | 81% (301/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (468/529) | 81% (301/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (153/180) | 70% (74/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', Flores G. 🟨,
- 45', Yedlin D. 🟨,
- 45', Pasalic M. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Angulo I. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 54', Enrique R. 🟨,
- 61', Valenzuela G. ↓, Kamara K. ↑,
- 70', Schlegel R. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Evander ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
- 80', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 80', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 83', Hadebe T. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 83', Evander ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Pasalic M. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
- 90', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 90+4', Baird C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Brekalo D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
49% | Draw
25.3% | Cincinnati
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Orlando City - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.19) |
3.72 ↑
(3.32) |
3.64 ↑
(3.38) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Orlando City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Cincinnati?
Orlando City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Orlando City?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Cincinnati were as follows:
05.10.2024
Cincinnati
-
Orlando City
1:3
04.05.2024
Orlando City
-
Cincinnati
0:1
02.09.2023
Cincinnati
-
Orlando City
0:1
04.03.2023
Orlando City
-
Cincinnati
0:0
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United ✔ | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:33 | 18 | 54 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 54:31 | 23 | 52 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 53:36 | 17 | 47 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 51:43 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Austin FC | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 41 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 40:49 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:55 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 31:41 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 33 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 45:61 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:51 | -15 | 25 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 35:58 | -23 | 21 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 55 |
| 3 | Charlotte ✔ | 30 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 50 |
| 5 | New York City | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 44:35 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 57:44 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 50:46 | 4 | 49 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55:41 | 14 | 48 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54:53 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:44 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 36:54 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | DC United | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 27:55 | -28 | 25 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 29:53 | -24 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
