Orlando City vs Columbus Crew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - Columbus Crew
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.002.75
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
85% (306/361)92% (501/543)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.002.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.84
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
611
Passes
85% (306/361)92% (501/543)
Long passes
56% (24/43)51% (18/35)
Passes in final third
68% (80/118)91% (199/219)
Crosses
42% (5/12)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.132.16
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
116
Tackles
91% (10/11)52% (11/21)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
2118
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.840.60
Goals prevented
0.84-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Gerbet J. , Smith K. ,
  • 24', Amundsen M. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Herrera A. , Lappalainen L. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lappalainen L. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 63', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. , McGuire D. ,
  • 72', Rossi D. , Gazdag D. ,
  • 75', Amundsen M. , Cheberko Y. ,
  • 79', Angulo I. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 80', Marin A. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 80', Pasalic M. , Spicer T. ,
  • 90+2', Rodriguez N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
50.1%
Draw
23.5%
Columbus Crew
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 25.1% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 24.2% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Orlando City - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.04)
    4.02
    (3.73)
    3.58
    (3.23)
    5.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Columbus Crew?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Taifi Z. (Thigh Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Ankle Injury) Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury) Habroune T. (International duty) Zawadzki S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Back Injury) Thorhallsson D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Camacho R. (Pelvis Injury) Rossi D. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Columbus Crew - Orlando City 1:3
    21.09.2024 Columbus Crew - Orlando City 4:3
    25.05.2024 Orlando City - Columbus Crew 0:2
    25.11.2023 Orlando City - Columbus Crew 0:2
    16.09.2023 Orlando City - Columbus Crew 4:3
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2