Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (306/361) | 92% (501/543) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (306/361) | 92% (501/543) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 51% (18/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 91% (199/219) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Gerbet J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 24', Amundsen M. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Herrera A. ⚽, Lappalainen L. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lappalainen L. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
- 63', Freeman A. 🟨,
- 64', Muriel L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
- 72', Rossi D. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
- 75', Amundsen M. ↓, Cheberko Y. ↑,
- 79', Angulo I. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 80', Marin A. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 80', Pasalic M. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
50.1% | Draw
23.5% | Columbus Crew
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Orlando City - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.04) |
4.02 ↑
(3.73) |
3.58 ↑
(3.23) |
5.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Columbus Crew?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Schlegel R.
(Yellow Cards)
Taifi Z.
(Thigh Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Ankle Injury)
Farsi M.
(Pelvis Injury)
Habroune T.
(International duty)
Zawadzki S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C.
(Back Injury)
Thorhallsson D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Camacho R.
(Pelvis Injury)
Rossi D.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Columbus Crew?
Orlando City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Orlando City?
Columbus Crew has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Columbus Crew were as follows:
25.07.2025
Columbus Crew
-
Orlando City
1:3
21.09.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Orlando City
4:3
25.05.2024
Orlando City
-
Columbus Crew
0:2
25.11.2023
Orlando City
-
Columbus Crew
0:2
16.09.2023
Orlando City
-
Columbus Crew
4:3
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Columbus Crew
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
