Orlando City vs Columbus Crew – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.002.75
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
85% (306/361)92% (501/543)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.002.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.601.84
Total shots
1020
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
48
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
611
Passes
85% (306/361)92% (501/543)
Long passes
56% (24/43)51% (18/35)
Passes in final third
68% (80/118)91% (199/219)
Crosses
42% (5/12)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.132.16
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
116
Tackles
91% (10/11)52% (11/21)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
2118
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.840.60
Goals prevented
0.84-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Gerbet J. , Smith K. ,
  • 24', Amundsen M. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Herrera A. , Lappalainen L. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Pasalic M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lappalainen L. , Aliyu I. ,
  • 63', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. , McGuire D. ,
  • 72', Rossi D. , Gazdag D. ,
  • 75', Amundsen M. , Cheberko Y. ,
  • 79', Angulo I. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 80', Marin A. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 80', Pasalic M. , Spicer T. ,
  • 90+2', Rodriguez N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
50.1%
Draw
23.5%
Columbus Crew
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 25.1% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 24.2% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Orlando City - Columbus Crew Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.04)
    4.02
    (3.73)
    3.58
    (3.23)
    5.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Columbus Crew?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Orlando City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Columbus (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Columbus (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Orlando City could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Taifi Z. (Thigh Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W. (Ankle Injury) Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury) Habroune T. (International duty) Zawadzki S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C. (Back Injury) Thorhallsson D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Columbus: Camacho R. (Pelvis Injury) Rossi D. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:35. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Columbus Crew were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Columbus Crew - Orlando City 1:3
    21.09.2024 Columbus Crew - Orlando City 4:3
    25.05.2024 Orlando City - Columbus Crew 0:2
    25.11.2023 Orlando City - Columbus Crew 0:2
    16.09.2023 Orlando City - Columbus Crew 4:3
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of Columbus Crew
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)