Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
87% (447/512) | 77% (250/323) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.26 | 1.66 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
87% (447/512) | 77% (250/323) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (30/51) | 55% (33/60) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (108/141) | 63% (61/97) |
Crosses |
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27% (8/30) | 50% (4/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.25 | 1.23 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.66 | 1.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.34 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Atuesta E. (A),
- 30', Polster M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Beason T. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
- 55', Pasalic M. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Chancalay T. ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 2, Ojeda M. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
- 66', Gallese P. 🟨,
- 67', Ceballos B. 🟨,
- 73', Langoni L. ↓, Urruti M. ↑,
- 77', Pasalic M. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
- 85', Miller P. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 90+2', Jansson R. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 90+6', Angulo I. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
New England Revolution 32.9% | Draw 26.5% | Orlando City 40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New England Revolution - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.32) |
3.57 ↑ (3.33) |
2.34 ↓ (3.11) |
5.6% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 0.
- New England has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Orlando City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:43. (average 2.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, New England won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution won against Orlando City?
New England Revolution has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against New England Revolution?
Orlando City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Orlando City were as follows:
10.05.2025
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:3
14.09.2024
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:0
13.07.2024
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:3
10.02.2024
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:3
07.10.2023
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:2
Latest results of New England Revolution
Latest results of Orlando City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)