New England Revolution vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New England Revolution - Orlando City
Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.84
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
87% (447/512)77% (250/323)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.84
xG on target (xGOT)
1.261.66
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
510
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
87% (447/512)77% (250/323)
Long passes
59% (30/51)55% (33/60)
Passes in final third
77% (108/141)63% (61/97)
Crosses
27% (8/30)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.251.23
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
1813
Tackles
56% (9/16)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
1522
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.661.26
Goals prevented
-0.340.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Ojeda M. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 30', Polster M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Beason T. , Chancalay T. ,
  • 55', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Chancalay T. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Ojeda M. , Angulo I. (A),
  • 66', Gallese P. 🟨,
  • 67', Ceballos B. 🟨,
  • 73', Langoni L. , Urruti M. ,
  • 77', Pasalic M. , Taifi Z. ,
  • 85', Miller P. , Diaz L. ,
  • 90+2', Jansson R. , Smith K. ,
  • 90+6', Angulo I. , Rafael Santos ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New England Revolution
32.9%
Draw
26.5%
Orlando City
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.6% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 29.2% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.
  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New England Revolution - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.32)
    3.57
    (3.33)
    2.34
    (3.11)
    5.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.69%96.41%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 0.
    • New England has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Orlando City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:43. (average 2.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New England won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Orlando City were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Orlando City - New England Revolution 3:3
    14.09.2024 Orlando City - New England Revolution 3:0
    13.07.2024 New England Revolution - Orlando City 1:3
    10.02.2024 New England Revolution - Orlando City 1:3
    07.10.2023 Orlando City - New England Revolution 3:2
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2