Result
1:2
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (447/512) | 77% (250/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (447/512) | 77% (250/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (108/141) | 63% (61/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Atuesta E. (A),
- 30', Polster M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Beason T. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
- 55', Pasalic M. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 1, Chancalay T. ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 2, Ojeda M. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
- 66', Gallese P. 🟨,
- 67', Ceballos B. 🟨,
- 73', Langoni L. ↓, Urruti M. ↑,
- 77', Pasalic M. ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
- 85', Miller P. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 90+2', Jansson R. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 90+6', Angulo I. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
New England Revolution
32.9% | Draw
26.5% | Orlando City
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New England Revolution's form might have worsened.Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New England Revolution, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
New England Revolution - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.32) |
3.57 ↑
(3.33) |
2.34 ↓
(3.11) |
5.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New England Revolution - Orlando City?
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 0.
- New England has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Orlando City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- New England may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:43. (average 2.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, New England won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution won against Orlando City?
New England Revolution has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against New England Revolution?
Orlando City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New England Revolution - Orlando City were as follows:
10.05.2025
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:3
14.09.2024
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:0
13.07.2024
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:3
10.02.2024
New England Revolution
-
Orlando City
1:3
07.10.2023
Orlando City
-
New England Revolution
3:2
Latest results of New England Revolution
Latest results of Orlando City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
