Orlando City vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - New York City
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.50
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
117
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Long passes
38% (18/47)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
78% (113/144)74% (87/117)
Crosses
31% (4/13)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.07
Throw-ins
1110
Fouls
1110
Tackles
100% (8/8)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.502.04
Goals prevented
0.501.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. , Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 46', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 70', Moralez M. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 74', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 84', Ojeda M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 85', O'Neill A. , Shore J. ,
  • 86', Wolf H. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. , Fernandez J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
54.9%
Draw
24.1%
New York City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Orlando City - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.66)
    3.93
    (4.12)
    4.5
    (4.91)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1
    20.07.2024 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    28.06.2024 New York City - Orlando City 4:2
    20.09.2023 New York City - Orlando City 2:0
    17.05.2023 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of New York City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2