Orlando City vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - New York City
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.50
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
117
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Long passes
38% (18/47)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
78% (113/144)74% (87/117)
Crosses
31% (4/13)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.07
Throw-ins
1110
Fouls
1110
Tackles
100% (8/8)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.502.04
Goals prevented
0.501.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. , Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 46', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 70', Moralez M. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 74', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 84', Ojeda M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 85', O'Neill A. , Shore J. ,
  • 86', Wolf H. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. , Fernandez J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
54.9%
Draw
24.1%
New York City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Orlando City - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.66)
    3.93
    (4.12)
    4.5
    (4.91)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1
    20.07.2024 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    28.06.2024 New York City - Orlando City 4:2
    20.09.2023 New York City - Orlando City 2:0
    17.05.2023 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)