Orlando City vs New York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - New York City
Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.631.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.041.50
Total shots
2611
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
103
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
117
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
4616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
85% (341/399)84% (393/468)
Long passes
38% (18/47)57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
78% (113/144)74% (87/117)
Crosses
31% (4/13)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.151.07
Throw-ins
1110
Fouls
1110
Tackles
100% (8/8)67% (6/9)
Duels won
3832
Clearances
1423
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.502.04
Goals prevented
0.501.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. , Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
  • 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 46', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
  • 64', Muriel L. , Enrique R. ,
  • 70', Moralez M. , Bakrar M. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 74', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 84', Ojeda M. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
  • 85', O'Neill A. , Shore J. ,
  • 86', Wolf H. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. , Fernandez J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
54.9%
Draw
24.1%
New York City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 23.2% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 22.7% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Orlando City - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.66)
    3.93
    (4.12)
    4.5
    (4.91)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1
    20.07.2024 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    28.06.2024 New York City - Orlando City 4:2
    20.09.2023 New York City - Orlando City 2:0
    17.05.2023 Orlando City - New York City 1:1
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)