Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.63 | 1.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
85% (341/399) | 84% (393/468) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.63 | 1.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.04 | 1.50 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
46 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
85% (341/399) | 84% (393/468) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (18/47) | 57% (21/37) |
Passes in final third |
---|
78% (113/144) | 74% (87/117) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 57% (4/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.15 | 1.07 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 10 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (8/8) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.50 | 2.04 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.50 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. ⚽, Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
- 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 46', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
- 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
- 64', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
- 70', Moralez M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 74', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 74', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 84', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
- 85', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 86', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
Chances of winning
Orlando City 54.9% | Draw 24.1% | New York City 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Orlando City - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↑ (1.66) |
3.93 ↓ (4.12) |
4.5 ↓ (4.91) |
5.3% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against New York City?
Orlando City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Orlando City?
New York City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
08.03.2025
New York City
-
Orlando City
2:1
20.07.2024
Orlando City
-
New York City
1:1
28.06.2024
New York City
-
Orlando City
4:2
20.09.2023
New York City
-
Orlando City
2:0
17.05.2023
Orlando City
-
New York City
1:1
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 48:32 | 16 | 46 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39:35 | 4 | 38 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
6 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 36 |
7 | Austin FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 33 |
8 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 31 |
9 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 29 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 43:24 | 19 | 50 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 46:33 | 13 | 41 |
7 | Charlotte | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 43:39 | 4 | 38 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 35 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
11 | New England Revolution | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 21 |
14 | DC United | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | -27 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)