Result
1:2
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (341/399) | 84% (393/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (341/399) | 84% (393/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 57% (21/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (113/144) | 74% (87/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 57% (4/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. ⚽, Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
- 39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 46', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
- 60', Araujo C. 🟨,
- 64', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
- 70', Moralez M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 74', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 74', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 84', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
- 85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
- 85', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 86', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
Chances of winning
Orlando City
54.9% | Draw
24.1% | New York City
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Orlando City - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.66) |
3.93 ↓
(4.12) |
4.5 ↓
(4.91) |
5.3%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against New York City?
Orlando City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Orlando City?
New York City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York City were as follows:
08.03.2025
New York City
-
Orlando City
2:1
20.07.2024
Orlando City
-
New York City
1:1
28.06.2024
New York City
-
Orlando City
4:2
20.09.2023
New York City
-
Orlando City
2:0
17.05.2023
Orlando City
-
New York City
1:1
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 54:34 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 48:38 | 10 | 44 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 41 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 53:51 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 12 | FC Dallas | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 40:48 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 44:59 | -15 | 27 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 34:51 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 20 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 49:26 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 42:36 | 6 | 52 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 29 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Nashville SC | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | New York City | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 42 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 40 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:35 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:51 | -22 | 24 |
| 15 | DC United | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 24 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
