St. Louis City vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.902.20
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3439
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
19
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Long passes
56% (22/39)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
73% (124/169)86% (151/176)
Crosses
38% (8/21)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.292.42
Throw-ins
156
Fouls
91
Tackles
47% (7/15)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
2.201.90
Goals prevented
-1.80-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Angulo I. (A2)
  • 9', 0 - 2, Pasalic M. ,
  • 22', 0 - 3, Enrique R. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 3, Becher S. , Totland T. (A), Burki R. (A2)
  • 45+3', 2 - 3, Joao Klauss ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Watts A. , Morales A. ,
  • 67', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 68', Angulo I. , Muriel L. ,
  • 68', Totland T. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 69', Teuchert C. , Wallem C. ,
  • 76', Becher S. , McSorley B. ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Pasalic M. ,
  • 83', Baumgartl T. , Wentzel M. ,
  • 84', Pasalic M. , Taifi Z. ,
  • 90', Wentzel M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ojeda M. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 90+1', Enrique R. , Rodriguez N. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
34%
Draw
25.6%
Orlando City
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 25.6% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • St. Louis City - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.95)
    3.7
    (3.72)
    2.35
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - St. Louis City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Orlando City (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Orlando City (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Orlando City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 40%). Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Wallem C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Orlando City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)