St. Louis City vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.902.20
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3439
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
19
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Long passes
56% (22/39)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
73% (124/169)86% (151/176)
Crosses
38% (8/21)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.292.42
Throw-ins
156
Fouls
91
Tackles
47% (7/15)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
2.201.90
Goals prevented
-1.80-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Angulo I. (A2)
  • 9', 0 - 2, Pasalic M. ,
  • 22', 0 - 3, Enrique R. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 3, Becher S. , Totland T. (A), Burki R. (A2)
  • 45+3', 2 - 3, Joao Klauss ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Watts A. , Morales A. ,
  • 67', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 68', Angulo I. , Muriel L. ,
  • 68', Totland T. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 69', Teuchert C. , Wallem C. ,
  • 76', Becher S. , McSorley B. ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Pasalic M. ,
  • 83', Baumgartl T. , Wentzel M. ,
  • 84', Pasalic M. , Taifi Z. ,
  • 90', Wentzel M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ojeda M. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 90+1', Enrique R. , Rodriguez N. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
34%
Draw
25.6%
Orlando City
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 25.6% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • St. Louis City - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.95)
    3.7
    (3.72)
    2.35
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - St. Louis City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Orlando City (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Orlando City (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Orlando City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 40%). Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Wallem C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Orlando City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps760119:41518
    2San Jose Earthquakes760113:21118
    3Los Angeles FC751115:21316
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6Colorado Rapids740319:12712
    7FC Dallas733115:10512
    8San Diego FC732214:10411
    9Minnesota United73228:13-511
    10Los Angeles Galaxy722310:11-18
    11Portland Timbers721411:16-57
    12Houston Dynamo620410:16-66
    13Austin FC71338:11-36
    14St. Louis City71336:9-36
    15Sporting Kansas City71157:17-104


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC751115:41116
    2Chicago Fire74129:5413
    3Inter Miami733113:12112
    4New York City732214:9511
    5Charlotte732213:9411
    6Toronto FC732210:11-111
    7New York Red Bulls732211:15-411
    8New England Revolution630312:939
    9DC United72144:9-57
    10FC Cincinnati721410:16-67
    11Columbus Crew71339:10-16
    12Atlanta Utd71156:12-64
    13Orlando City71156:24-184
    14Philadelphia Union71066:12-63
    15CF Montreal71068:19-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)