St. Louis City vs Orlando City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
25/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.662.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.902.20
Total shots
1623
Shots on target
512
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3439
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
19
Passes
86% (412/477)89% (489/549)
Long passes
56% (22/39)54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
73% (124/169)86% (151/176)
Crosses
38% (8/21)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.292.42
Throw-ins
156
Fouls
91
Tackles
47% (7/15)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4038
Clearances
1324
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
2.201.90
Goals prevented
-1.80-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Enrique R. , Ojeda M. (A), Angulo I. (A2)
  • 9', 0 - 2, Pasalic M. ,
  • 22', 0 - 3, Enrique R. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 3, Becher S. , Totland T. (A), Burki R. (A2)
  • 45+3', 2 - 3, Joao Klauss ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Watts A. , Morales A. ,
  • 67', Reid J. 🟨,
  • 68', Angulo I. , Muriel L. ,
  • 68', Totland T. , Zalinsky J. ,
  • 69', Teuchert C. , Wallem C. ,
  • 76', Becher S. , McSorley B. ,
  • 82', 2 - 4, Pasalic M. ,
  • 83', Baumgartl T. , Wentzel M. ,
  • 84', Pasalic M. , Taifi Z. ,
  • 90', Wentzel M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ojeda M. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 90+1', Enrique R. , Rodriguez N. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
34%
Draw
25.6%
Orlando City
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 25.6% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 26.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • St. Louis City - Orlando City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.95)
    3.7
    (3.72)
    2.35
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Orlando City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - St. Louis City (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Orlando City (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Orlando City (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Orlando City (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 40%). Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orlando City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Schlegel R. (Yellow Cards) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Wallem C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Orlando City were as follows:
    26.08.2023 Orlando City - St. Louis City 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)