Result
4:2
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (276/340) | 86% (459/533) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (276/340) | 86% (459/533) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 54% (20/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/101) | 80% (156/194) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Osorio J. ⚽, Cifuentes J. (A),
- 32', Marin A. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Mihailovic D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Marin A. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 46', Etienne D. 🟨,
- 48', 3 - 0, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Corbeanu T. (A),
- 49', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 1, Brekalo D. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
- 56', Laryea R. 🟨,
- 61', 4 - 1, Kerr D. ⚽, Etienne D. (A), Mihailovic D. (A2)
- 62', Franklin K. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
- 62', Kerr D. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 62', Angulo I. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
- 63', Pasalic M. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 70', Etienne D. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 78', Smith K. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 84', Corbeanu T. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
- 85', Rosted S. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 87', Atuesta E. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
- 90', Henry M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 2, McGuire D. ⚽, Freeman A. (A),
- 90+5', McGuire D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
29% | Draw
25.5% | Orlando City
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Toronto FC - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.17) |
3.78 ↑
(3.63) |
2.08 ↑
(2.08) |
4.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Orlando City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Orlando City (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Toronto (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Orlando City (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Orlando City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Orlando City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Coello A.
(Red Card)
Etienne D.
(International duty)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Laryea R.
(International duty)
Long K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Osorio J.
(International duty)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Orlando City: Brekalo D.
(International duty)
Caraballo G.
(Leg Injury)
Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Freeman A.
(International duty)
Pasalic M.
(International duty)
Spicer T.
(International duty)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C.
(Back Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Orlando City?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Toronto FC?
Orlando City has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Orlando City were as follows:
01.03.2025
Orlando City
-
Toronto FC
4:2
03.07.2024
Toronto FC
-
Orlando City
1:2
27.04.2024
Orlando City
-
Toronto FC
1:2
21.10.2023
Toronto FC
-
Orlando City
0:2
04.07.2023
Orlando City
-
Toronto FC
4:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Orlando City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | San Diego FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Real Salt Lake | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | DC United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlanta Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | CF Montreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 3 |
| 14 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
