Result
4:2
18/10/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, RDS App, RDS, TSN 5 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV, EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (276/340) | 86% (459/533) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (276/340) | 86% (459/533) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 54% (20/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (70/101) | 80% (156/194) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Osorio J. ⚽, Cifuentes J. (A),
- 32', Marin A. 🟨,
- 34', 2 - 0, Mihailovic D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Marin A. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 46', Etienne D. 🟨,
- 48', 3 - 0, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Corbeanu T. (A),
- 49', Corbeanu T. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 1, Brekalo D. ⚽, Pasalic M. (A),
- 56', Laryea R. 🟨,
- 61', 4 - 1, Kerr D. ⚽, Etienne D. (A), Mihailovic D. (A2)
- 62', Franklin K. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
- 62', Kerr D. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 62', Angulo I. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
- 63', Pasalic M. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
- 70', Etienne D. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 78', Smith K. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 84', Corbeanu T. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
- 85', Rosted S. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 87', Atuesta E. ↓, Guske C. ↑,
- 90', Henry M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 2, McGuire D. ⚽, Freeman A. (A),
- 90+5', McGuire D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
29% | Draw
25.5% | Orlando City
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toronto FC - Orlando City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.17) |
3.78 ↑
(3.63) |
2.08 ↑
(2.08) |
4.4%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Orlando City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 50%). Orlando City (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Orlando City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Orlando City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Coello A.
(Red Card)
Etienne D.
(International duty)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Laryea R.
(International duty)
Long K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Osorio J.
(International duty)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Orlando City: Brekalo D.
(International duty)
Caraballo G.
(Leg Injury)
Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Freeman A.
(International duty)
Pasalic M.
(International duty)
Spicer T.
(International duty)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orlando City: Araujo C.
(Back Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Orlando City?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Toronto FC?
Orlando City has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Orlando City were as follows:
01.03.2025
Orlando City
-
Toronto FC
4:2
03.07.2024
Toronto FC
-
Orlando City
1:2
27.04.2024
Orlando City
-
Toronto FC
1:2
21.10.2023
Toronto FC
-
Orlando City
0:2
04.07.2023
Orlando City
-
Toronto FC
4:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Orlando City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 5 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 6 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | New York City | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
| 15 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Austin FC | |
1/8-finals| 1 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Charlotte | New York City | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | FC Cincinnati | Inter Miami | 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | New York City | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | San Diego FC | Minnesota United | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Los Angeles FC | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Inter Miami | New York City | 5 : 1 |
| 2 | San Diego FC | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Inter Miami | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 : 1 |
