Result
1:0
10/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Tehini S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Usa | NSWL+, NWSL+ app, SiriusXM FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/376) | 81% (339/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (300/376) | 81% (339/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/116) | 64% (56/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Tordin P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Daiane ↓, Perry J. ↑,
- 61', Coffey S. 🟨,
- 63', Spaanstra A. ↓, Castellanos D. ↑,
- 63', Tordin P. ↓, Alidou d'Anjou M. ↑,
- 68', Lemos A. ↓, Marta ↑,
- 68', Watt A. ↓, Charley S. ↑,
- 71', Hernandez O. ↓, Chavoshi Z. ↑,
- 72', Vignola M. ↓, Mckenzie M. ↑,
- 81', Ovalle L. ↓, Jackson S. ↑,
- 81', Pickett C. ↓, Luana Bertolucci ↑,
- 85', Mckenzie M. 🟨,
- 88', Turner R. ↓, Harbert L. ↑,
- 88', Luana Bertolucci 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Mckenzie M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Orlando Pride
49.6% | Draw
26.2% | Portland Thorns
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando Pride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Portland Thorns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.85) |
3.5 ↓
(3.55) |
3.79 ↓
(3.82) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pride won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Portland Thorns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Orlando Pride is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pride won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pride won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pride won against Portland Thorns?
Orlando Pride has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Thorns won against Orlando Pride?
Portland Thorns has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns were as follows:
03.05.2025
Portland Thorns
-
Orlando Pride
1:0
11.10.2024
Portland Thorns
-
Orlando Pride
2:0
24.05.2024
Orlando Pride
-
Portland Thorns
2:1
11.06.2023
Orlando Pride
-
Portland Thorns
3:1
26.03.2023
Portland Thorns
-
Orlando Pride
4:0
Latest results of Orlando Pride
Latest results of Portland Thorns
NWSL Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kansas City Current W ✔ | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 59 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Orlando Pride W | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 | Gotham W | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 31:18 | 13 | 35 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign W | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Portland Thorns W | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Louisville W | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 33 |
| 8 | San Diego Wave W | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Houston Dash W | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 26:35 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Angel City W | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 12 | Utah Royals W | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Chicago W | 24 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 17 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
