Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/10/2025 at  12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 51% | 49% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6',  🟨, 
- 10', 0 - 1, Sanz H. ⚽, Guerrero A. (A), 
- 25', Pena A. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Alvaro J. ↓, Tejera S. ↑, 
- 46', Pena A. ↓, Miguel ↑, 
- 46', Mardones A. ↓, Concha D. ↑, 
- 60', Gimenez A. ↓, Escobar A. ↑, 
- 61', 1 - 1, Concha D. ⚽, 
- 66', Munoz D. ↓, Punzano I. ↑, 
- 66', Ramos J. ↓, Castillo N. ↑, 
- 73', Guerrero A. ↓, Camus M. ↑, 
- 73', Tejera S. 🟨, 
- 74', Parera P. M. 🟨, 
- 81', Dacosta R. ↓, Pascu ↑, 
- 90+1',  🟨, 
- 90+1',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Ferrol 53.8%
 | Draw 28.1%
 | Ourense CF 18.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ferrol - Ourense CF Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.84 ↑ (1.73)
 | 3.46 ↑ (3.3)
 | 5.33 ↑ (4.4)
 | 2% (10.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Ferrol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ourense CF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferrol is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ourense CF?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ferrol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Ferrol?
                    
                    
                        
                             Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ourense CF were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.07.2024 
                                Ourense CF 
                                - 
                                Ferrol 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ourense CF                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 | 
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 | 
| 4 | Barakaldo | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 15 | 
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 | 
| 6 | Real Aviles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 7 | Lugo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 | 
| 8 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 | 
| 9 | CF Talavera | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 | 
| 10 | Guadalajara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Pontevedra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 | 
| 12 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 13 | Cacereno | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | 
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | 
| 15 | Arenteiro | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 | 
| 16 | Unionistas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | 
| 17 | Osasuna B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 | 
| 18 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 | 
| 19 | Ath Bilbao B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 | 
| 20 | Ourense CF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | 
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