Ferrol vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Sanz H. , Guerrero A. (A),
  • 25', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvaro J. , Tejera S. ,
  • 46', Pena A. , Miguel ,
  • 46', Mardones A. , Concha D. ,
  • 60', Gimenez A. , Escobar A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Concha D. ,
  • 66', Munoz D. , Punzano I. ,
  • 66', Ramos J. , Castillo N. ,
  • 73', Guerrero A. , Camus M. ,
  • 73', Tejera S. 🟨,
  • 74', Parera P. M. 🟨,
  • 81', Dacosta R. , Pascu ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferrol
53.8%
Draw
28.1%
Ourense CF
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 27.3% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 26.4% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Ferrol - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.73)
    3.46
    (3.3)
    5.33
    (4.4)
    2%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ferrol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ourense CF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ferrol is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ourense CF were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Ourense CF - Ferrol 1:0
    Latest results of Ferrol
    26.09.2025 Ferrol - CD Guadalajara 0:0
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 2:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    01.10.2025 Bergantiños - Ourense CF 0:2
    27.09.2025 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 1:2
    21.09.2025 Tenerife - Ourense CF 3:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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