Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
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| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Jelbat A. 🟨,
- 17', Moreno C. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, Coto E. ⚽,
- 57', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 69', Munoz D. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
- 69', Ochoa M. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 78', Guerrero A. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
- 86', Gimenez A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 86', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF 36% | Draw 31% | Ferrol 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ourense CF - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.49) |
2.96 ↓ (3.04) |
2.81 ↑ (2.73) |
8.4% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Ferrol?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ourense CF?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Ferrol were as follows:
04.10.2025
Ferrol
-
Ourense CF
1:1
27.07.2024
Ourense CF
-
Ferrol
1:0
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation