Ourense CF vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
73
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
98
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Jelbat A. 🟨,
  • 17', Moreno C. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Coto E. ,
  • 57', Moreno C. , Yuste A. ,
  • 69', Munoz D. , Bouzaig A. ,
  • 69', Ochoa M. , Punzano I. ,
  • 78', Guerrero A. , Rivas L. ,
  • 86', Gimenez A. , Tavares M. ,
  • 86', Tejera S. , Gorostidi A. ,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
36%
Draw
31%
Ferrol
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 30% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 30.5% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Ourense CF - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.49)
    2.96
    (3.04)
    2.81
    (2.73)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Ferrol were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Ferrol - Ourense CF 1:1
    27.07.2024 Ourense CF - Ferrol 1:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Latest results of Ferrol
    08.03.2026 Ferrol - Cacereño 3:1
    20.02.2026 Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B 1:2
    14.02.2026 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:1
    07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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