Ferrol vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ferrol - Ourense CF
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Sanz H. , Guerrero A. (A),
  • 25', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Alvaro J. , Tejera S. ,
  • 46', Pena A. , Miguel ,
  • 46', Mardones A. , Concha D. ,
  • 60', Gimenez A. , Escobar A. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Concha D. ,
  • 66', Munoz D. , Punzano I. ,
  • 66', Ramos J. , Castillo N. ,
  • 73', Guerrero A. , Camus M. ,
  • 73', Tejera S. 🟨,
  • 74', Parera P. M. 🟨,
  • 81', Dacosta R. , Pascu ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferrol
53.8%
Draw
28.1%
Ourense CF
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 27.3% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 26.4% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Ferrol - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.73)
    3.45
    (3.3)
    5.31
    (4.4)
    0.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ferrol is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ourense CF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ferrol is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ourense CF were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Ourense CF - Ferrol 1:0
    Latest results of Ferrol
    26.09.2025 Ferrol - CD Guadalajara 0:0
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 2:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    01.10.2025 Bergantiños - Ourense CF 0:2
    27.09.2025 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 1:2
    21.09.2025 Tenerife - Ourense CF 3:0
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation