Ponferradina vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
43
Yellow cards
34
Red Cards
12
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Yuste A. 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 41', 🟨,
  • 45', Yuste A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 62', Andujar D. 🟥,
  • 65', Ferrer P. , Moltenis B. ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 68', Cortes J. , Keita A. ,
  • 71', Moreno C. , Ramos J. ,
  • 71', Ouhdadi O. , Punzano I. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Keita A. ,
  • 78', Sanz H. , Rabadan D. ,
  • 83', Bouzaig A. , Piera J. ,
  • 88', Valle B. , Sousa V. ,
  • 88', Vazquez B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 89', Ramos J. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
41.2%
Draw
31.1%
Ourense CF
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 31.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.8% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Ponferradina - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.22)
    2.92
    (2.99)
    3.27
    (3.44)
    9.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Ponferradina is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ourense CF's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Ourense CF were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Ponferradina - Ourense CF 2:0
    30.11.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 2:1
    03.08.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    03.01.2026 Ourense CF - Real Avilés 2:1
    21.12.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 2:1
    13.12.2025 Ourense CF - Barakaldo 2:2
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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