Ourense CF vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
29/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
57
Shots on target
13
Corner kicks
82
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
57
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Moreno C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Moreno C. , Yuste A. ,
  • 61', Rabadan D. , Munoz D. ,
  • 61', Ochoa M. , Castillo N. ,
  • 62', Slavy , Cortes J. ,
  • 62', Fernandez X. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 74', Prieto A. , Jimenez A. ,
  • 76', Guerrero A. , Punzano I. ,
  • 82', Sergio Benito , Bouzaig A. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Koke , Jorrin M. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
35.4%
Draw
32.7%
Ponferradina
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 32.4% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 33.2% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Ourense CF - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.43)
    2.81
    (2.82)
    2.91
    (3.06)
    8.4%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
    • Ourense CF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ponferradina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ourense CF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ourense CF could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Ponferradina were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Ponferradina - Ourense CF 2:0
    09.03.2025 Ponferradina - Ourense CF 2:0
    30.11.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 2:1
    03.08.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    21.03.2026 Pontevedra - Ourense CF 0:0
    14.03.2026 Ourense CF - Ferrol 1:1
    08.03.2026 Barakaldo - Ourense CF 1:0
    28.02.2026 Ourense CF - Arenteiro 2:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

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