Ponferradina vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
43
Yellow cards
34
Red Cards
12
Total shots
104
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Yuste A. 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 41', 🟨,
  • 45', Yuste A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 62', Andujar D. 🟥,
  • 65', Ferrer P. , Moltenis B. ,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 68', Cortes J. , Keita A. ,
  • 71', Moreno C. , Ramos J. ,
  • 71', Ouhdadi O. , Punzano I. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Keita A. ,
  • 78', Sanz H. , Rabadan D. ,
  • 83', Bouzaig A. , Piera J. ,
  • 88', Valle B. , Sousa V. ,
  • 88', Vazquez B. , Fernandez X. ,
  • 89', Ramos J. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
41.2%
Draw
31.1%
Ourense CF
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 31.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.8% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Ponferradina - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.22)
    2.92
    (2.99)
    3.27
    (3.44)
    9.9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Ponferradina is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Ourense CF's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ponferradina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Ourense CF were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Ponferradina - Ourense CF 2:0
    30.11.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 2:1
    03.08.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    03.01.2026 Ourense CF - Real Avilés 2:1
    21.12.2025 Lugo - Ourense CF 2:1
    13.12.2025 Ourense CF - Barakaldo 2:2
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

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