Ponferradina vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ponferradina - Ourense CF
Result
2:0
09/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
34
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Sibille K. ,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gil A. , Noriega J. ,
  • 46', Ramos J. , Gil A. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Cortes J. ,
  • 65', Xesc Fullana , Juanma Bravo ,
  • 68', Valle B. , Costa A. ,
  • 68', Cortes J. , Gomez E. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 73', Sanchez A. , Raigal J. ,
  • 77', Cabanzon Y. , Mula A. ,
  • 83', Fidalgo A. , Blesa Alex ,
  • 84', Bustos A. , Andujar D. ,
  • 84', Ramon A. , Lopez A. ,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
58.3%
Draw
26.1%
Ourense CF
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 29.9% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 29.9% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense CF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ponferradina - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (2.03)
    3.55
    (3.02)
    5.86
    (3.54)
    8.4%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
    • Recent matches Ponferradina is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ourense CF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Ourense CF were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 2:1
    03.08.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 1:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3