Result
1:3
26/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Livermore A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', 0 - 2, Twamley L. ⚽,
- 64', 0 - 3, Cox C. ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 3, Clark E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Oxford City
35.6% | Draw
25% | Merthyr Town
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford City - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(3.04) |
3.69 ↓
(3.85) |
2.31 ↑
(2.05) |
9.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent performances by Oxford City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Merthyr is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford City won against Merthyr Town?
Oxford City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Oxford City?
Merthyr Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford City - Merthyr Town were as follows:
Latest results of Oxford City
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 76:29 | 47 | 77 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:37 | 46 | 75 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 5 | Darlington | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 65:49 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 58:47 | 11 | 55 |
| 7 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | AFC Telford | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 68:48 | 20 | 53 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:56 | -26 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 29 |
| 24 | Leamington | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:60 | -35 | 22 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
