Result
1:3
26/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Livermore A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 62', 0 - 2, Twamley L. ⚽,
- 64', 0 - 3, Cox C. ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 3, Clark E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Oxford City
35.6% | Draw
25% | Merthyr Town
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford City - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(3.04) |
3.69 ↓
(3.85) |
2.31 ↑
(2.05) |
9.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent performances by Oxford City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Merthyr is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford City won against Merthyr Town?
Oxford City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Oxford City?
Merthyr Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford City - Merthyr Town were as follows:
Latest results of Oxford City
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 39 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 94:42 | 52 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 85:36 | 49 | 84 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | Merthyr Town | 40 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 87:73 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 71:53 | 18 | 65 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55:47 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 40 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Buxton | 39 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 65:53 | 12 | 57 |
| 10 | Chester | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 58:62 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 12 | Marine | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Spennymoor | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:63 | -11 | 54 |
| 14 | Southport | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 55:61 | -6 | 51 |
| 15 | Chorley | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 60:59 | 1 | 49 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Worksop | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 46 |
| 19 | Bedford | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 56:70 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 49:59 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Hereford | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 48:63 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:67 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 43:75 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Leamington | 39 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28:70 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
