Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Martin Damm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/05/2026 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
69%67%
1st serve points won
80% (28/35)73% (24/33)
2nd serve points won
69% (11/16)38% (6/16)
Break Points Saved
0/02/5
1st return points won
27% (9/33)20% (7/35)
2nd return points won
63% (10/16)31% (5/16)
Break Points Converted
3/50/0
Winners
1626
Unforced errors
725
Net points won
100% (1/1)53% (9/17)
Service Points Won
76% (39/51)61% (30/49)
Return Points Won
39% (19/49)24% (12/51)
Total Points Won
58% (58/100)42% (42/100)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
65%
Martin Damm
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.
  • Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Damm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Damm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.61)

    2.69
    (2.2)
    6.2%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Damm?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 94. Damm is ranked ATP: 126.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Latest results of Martin Damm
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Echargui M.2 : 0
    2Lajovic D.Choinski J. (20)0 : 2
    3Prizmic D. (2)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    4Bondioli F. (WC)Nava E. (18)2 : 1
    5Kypson P. (3)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)Droguet T. (16)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (4)Damm M.2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Wawrinka S. (13)1 : 2
    9Vallejo D. (5)Faria J.1 : 2
    10Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)Rocha H. (19)2 : 1
    11Kovacevic A. (6)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Mochizuki S.Fearnley J. (15)0 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Dellien H.0 : 2
    14Martinez P.De Jong J. (14)0 : 2
    15Landaluce M. (8)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    16Pellegrino A.Gaston H. (17)2 : 0
    17Hijikata R. (9)Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    18Moller E.Basilashvili N. (21)1 : 2
    19Merida Aguilar D. (10)McDonald M.2 : 0
    20Vasami J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (23)0 : 2
    21Bonzi B. (11)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    22Budkov Kjaer N.Virtanen O. (22)2 : 1
    23Comesana F. (12)Harris B.2 : 0
    24Riedi L. (PR)Gaubas V. (24)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (1)Choinski J. (20)
    2Prizmic D. (2)Bondioli F.
    3Kypson P. (3)Droguet T. (16)
    4Carreno-Busta P. (4)Wawrinka S. (13)
    5Faria J.Llamas Ruiz P.
    6Kovacevic A. (6)Fearnley J. (15)
    7Dellien H.De Jong J. (14)
    8Landaluce M. (8)Pellegrino A.
    9Hijikata R. (9)Basilashvili N. (21)
    10Merida Aguilar D. (10)Barrios Vera T. (23)
    11Svrcina D.Budkov Kjaer N.
    12Comesana F. (12)Riedi L.