Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Stanislas Wawrinka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Carreno-Busta P. Walkover
05/05/2026 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
66.6%
Stanislas Wawrinka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Stanislas Wawrinka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.48)

    2.8
    (2.53)
    6.7%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Stanislas Wawrinka?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 82%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 91. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 125.
    • Carreno Busta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wawrinka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wawrinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Carreno Busta might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Latest results of Stanislas Wawrinka
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Echargui M.2 : 0
    2Lajovic D.Choinski J. (20)0 : 2
    3Prizmic D. (2)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    4Bondioli F. (WC)Nava E. (18)2 : 1
    5Kypson P. (3)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)Droguet T. (16)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (4)Damm M.2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Wawrinka S. (13)1 : 2
    9Vallejo D. (5)Faria J.1 : 2
    10Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)Rocha H. (19)2 : 1
    11Kovacevic A. (6)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Mochizuki S.Fearnley J. (15)0 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Dellien H.0 : 2
    14Martinez P.De Jong J. (14)0 : 2
    15Landaluce M. (8)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    16Pellegrino A.Gaston H. (17)2 : 0
    17Hijikata R. (9)Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    18Moller E.Basilashvili N. (21)1 : 2
    19Merida Aguilar D. (10)McDonald M.2 : 0
    20Vasami J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (23)0 : 2
    21Bonzi B. (11)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    22Budkov Kjaer N.Virtanen O. (22)2 : 1
    23Comesana F. (12)Harris B.2 : 0
    24Riedi L. (PR)Gaubas V. (24)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (1)Choinski J. (20)2 : 1
    2Prizmic D. (2)Bondioli F.2 : 0
    3Kypson P. (3)Droguet T. (16)2 : 1
    4Carreno-Busta P. (WO.) (4)Wawrinka S. (13)
    5Faria J.Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    6Kovacevic A. (6)Fearnley J. (15)1 : 2
    7Dellien H.De Jong J. (14)1 : 2
    8Landaluce M. (8)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    9Hijikata R. (9)Basilashvili N. (21)0 : 2
    10Merida Aguilar D. (10)Barrios Vera T. (23)2 : 1
    11Svrcina D.Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    12Comesana F. (12)Riedi L.2 : 1