Paderborn vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:2
19/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.13
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (487/574)77% (240/313)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.471.13
xG on target (xGOT)
2.320.43
Total shots
199
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
5317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
914
Passes
85% (487/574)77% (240/313)
Long passes
57% (26/46)38% (24/63)
Passes in final third
74% (143/192)53% (43/81)
Crosses
32% (9/28)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
3.100.72
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
149
Tackles
70% (7/10)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4545
Clearances
1642
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.432.32
Goals prevented
-1.570.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Richter M. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
  • 37', 0 - 2, Corredor K. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Copado L. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Baur M. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
  • 57', Kettemann R. 🟨,
  • 58', Akiyama H. 🟨,
  • 62', Corredor K. ↓, Hornby F. ↑,
  • 62', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
  • 73', Holland F. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
  • 73', Richter M. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
  • 73', Hansen M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
  • 79', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Klaas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
  • 86', Michel S. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
  • 90', Lidberg I. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Baur M. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
44.1%		Draw
26.6%		Darmstadt
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 26.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 26.4% 27.4%

Paderborn - Darmstadt Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.14 ↑
(2.01)		 3.52 ↓
(3.56)		 3.19 ↓
(3.35)		 6.5%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Darmstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 23.6% – 57.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 40%). Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Darmstadt (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Darmstadt (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Darmstadt (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
    • In recent matches, Paderborn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Darmstadt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Paderborn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Thigh Injury) Richter M. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Darmstadt were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Darmstadt - Paderborn 0:1
    11.08.2024 Paderborn - Darmstadt 3:1
    09.04.2023 Darmstadt - Paderborn 2:1
    30.09.2022 Paderborn - Darmstadt 1:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    13.12.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:4 ✺
    06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    14.12.2025 Darmstadt - Preußen Münster 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth 4:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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