Darmstadt vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Darmstadt - Paderborn
Result
0:1
26/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
usaUsaESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.81
Ball Possession
64%36%
Goal Attempts
1311
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
311
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
77
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
1711
Offsides
21
Fouls
1117
Yellow Cards
26
Throw-ins
2112
Touches in the Opposition Box
2115
Passes
85% (462/542)77% (220/285)
Passes in the final third
78% (135/173)68% (66/97)
Crosses
17% (5/29)11% (3/27)
Tackles
81% (13/16)77% (10/13)
Clearances Total
1828
Interceptions
310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Terho C. 🟨,
  • 25', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 31', Mehlem M. 🟨,
  • 35', Platte F. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Platte F. , Mehlem M. (A),
  • 42', Platte F. , Ansah I. ,
  • 45+2', Riedel C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Terho C. , Castaneda S. ,
  • 66', Riedel C. , Maglica M. ,
  • 73', Gotze F. , Musliu V. ,
  • 73', Michel S. , Hansen M. ,
  • 73', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 78', Klefisch K. , Boetius J-P. ,
  • 78', Forster P. , Vilhelmsson O. ,
  • 78', Muller A. , Papela M. ,
  • 78', Marseiler L. , Lakenmacher F. ,
  • 85', Hoffmeier M. 🟨,
  • 87', Maglica M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
42.9%
Draw
25.7%
Paderborn
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 26% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.7% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Darmstadt - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.14)
    3.67
    (3.62)
    3.01
    (3.15)
    5.7%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 23.8%76.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 4.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Paderborn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Paderborn have a series of home games.
    • Darmstadt will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Lidberg I. (Hip Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Injury) Engelns L. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Paderborn were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Paderborn - Darmstadt 3:1
    09.04.2023 Darmstadt - Paderborn 2:1
    30.09.2022 Paderborn - Darmstadt 1:2
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    Latest results of Paderborn
    19.01.2025 Paderborn - Hertha Berlin 1:2
    13.01.2025 Paderborn - Verl 2:1
    06.01.2025 Paderborn - Heerenveen 1:1
    21.12.2024 Paderborn - Karlsruher 1:2
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hannover33006:159
    2Karlsruher SC32105:237
    3Arminia Bielefeld22007:166
    4Darmstadt22005:146
    5Schalke32014:316
    6Braunschweig32014:406
    7Elversberg32013:306
    8Preussen Munster31115:504
    9Paderborn31114:404
    10Greuther Furth21015:503
    11Kaiserslautern31022:3-13
    12Bochum31024:6-23
    13Magdeburg31023:5-23
    14Dusseldorf31023:8-53
    15Hertha Berlin20111:2-11
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20023:5-20
    17Holstein Kiel20021:4-30
    18Nurnberg30031:4-30

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