Result
2:2
19/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (487/574) | 77% (240/313) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 53 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (487/574) | 77% (240/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (143/192) | 53% (43/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.57 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Richter M. ⚽, Lidberg I. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Corredor K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Copado L. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Baur M. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
- 57', Kettemann R. 🟨,
- 58', Akiyama H. 🟨,
- 62', Corredor K. ↓, Hornby F. ↑,
- 62', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
- 73', Holland F. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
- 73', Richter M. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
- 73', Hansen M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 79', Michel S. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Klaas S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 86', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 86', Michel S. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
- 90', Lidberg I. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
- 90+2', Baur M. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn 44.1% | Draw 26.6% | Darmstadt 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Paderborn - Darmstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.01) |
3.52 ↓ (3.56) |
3.19 ↓ (3.35) |
6.5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Darmstadt?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 40.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 23.6% – 57.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Darmstadt (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Darmstadt (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Darmstadt (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
- In recent matches, Paderborn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Darmstadt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Paderborn is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F.
(Thigh Injury)
Richter M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 2.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Darmstadt?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Paderborn?
Darmstadt has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Darmstadt were as follows:
26.01.2025
Darmstadt
-
Paderborn
0:1
11.08.2024
Paderborn
-
Darmstadt
3:1
09.04.2023
Darmstadt
-
Paderborn
2:1
30.09.2022
Paderborn
-
Darmstadt
1:2
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Darmstadt
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 22:10 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 33:18 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 33 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | Hannover | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Bochum | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Magdeburg | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24:29 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 20 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | -11 | 20 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 19 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 16 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 26:46 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga