Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 1
- Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
 Serbia | SportKlub 5 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (311/411) | 80% (380/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (311/411) | 80% (380/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 30% (15/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (70/120) | 61% (66/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Zec D. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Hoffmeier M. ⚽,
- 40', Nekic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Skrzybski S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 56', Schwab S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
- 57', Rosenboom L. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 69', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 73', Curda L. 🟨,
- 75', Davidsen K. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 78', Copado L. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 78', Batzner N. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
- 84', Engelns L. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
- 84', Scheller T. ↓, Gotze F. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Gigovic A. ⚽,
- 87', Gigovic A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽,
- 90+10', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
41.7% | Draw
26.3% | Holstein Kiel
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.22) |
3.61 ↓
(3.77) |
2.96 ↓
(2.98) |
5.8%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
- Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Muscle Injury)
Kinsombi D.
(Thigh Injury)
Michel S.
(Injury)
Muller R.
(Muscle Injury)
Vega Zambrano J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Red Card)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Komenda M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Holstein Kiel?
Paderborn has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Paderborn?
Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
17.02.2024
Paderborn
-
Holstein Kiel
0:4
02.09.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Paderborn
2:1
25.02.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Paderborn
1:1
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Hannover | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Braunschweig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Paderborn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Schalke | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Elversberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Dusseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
