Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 18
- Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (261/327) | 84% (450/536) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (261/327) | 84% (450/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 66% (41/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 68% (94/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.97 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Skrzybski S. ⚽, Harres P. (A),
- 33', Baur M. 🟨,
- 44', Zec D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Tohumcu U. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
- 61', Niehoff N. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 62', Batzner N. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
- 62', Michel S. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Rosenboom L. ⚽,
- 68', Scheller T. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 74', Skrzybski S. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
- 81', Tigges S. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 81', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
- 82', Meffert J. 🟨,
- 85', Therkelsen J. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 85', Harres P. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
- 88', Jakupovic A. 🟨,
- 90+11', Okpala K. 🟨,
- 90+12', Hansen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
31.6% | Draw
27.9% | Paderborn
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Holstein Kiel - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(2.9) |
3.36 ↓
(3.53) |
2.31 ↓
(2.32) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Paderborn will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Paderborn (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2.
- Holstein Kiel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paderborn is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paderborn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A.
(Foot Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 2.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Paderborn?
Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Holstein Kiel?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Paderborn were as follows:
02.08.2025
Paderborn
-
Holstein Kiel
2:1
17.02.2024
Paderborn
-
Holstein Kiel
0:4
02.09.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Paderborn
2:1
25.02.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Paderborn
1:1
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 24:14 | 10 | 39 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 37:20 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 36:22 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 | Hannover | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 31 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Bochum | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 24 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 21 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 20 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 28:47 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
