Paderborn vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn).

2. Bundesliga - Round 1
Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.43
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	0
Passes
76% (311/411)	80% (380/473)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.52	0.40
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
4	2
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	0
Touches in opposition box
17	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
76% (311/411)	80% (380/473)
Long passes
34% (21/61)	30% (15/50)
Passes in final third
58% (70/120)	61% (66/108)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	0.58
Throw-ins
31	25
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
40% (6/15)	36% (5/14)
Duels won
48	51
Clearances
20	32
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.40	1.52
Goals prevented
-0.60	-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Zec D. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Hoffmeier M. ⚽,
40', Nekic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Skrzybski S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
56', Schwab S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
57', Rosenboom L. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
69', Castaneda S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
73', Curda L. 🟨,
75', Davidsen K. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
78', Copado L. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
78', Batzner N. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
84', Engelns L. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
84', Scheller T. ↓, Gotze F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Gigovic A. ⚽,
87', Gigovic A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽,
90+10', 🟨,

Chances of winning

Paderborn
41.7%

Draw
26.3%

Holstein Kiel
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.2%

31.9%

Paderborn - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.61 ↓ (3.77)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	5.8% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Paderborn - Holstein Kiel?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 50.9% – 95.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Kinsombi D. (Thigh Injury) Michel S. (Injury) Muller R. (Muscle Injury) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Red Card) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Komenda M. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2.3:2.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Holstein Kiel?

Paderborn has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Paderborn?

Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

17.02.2024 Paderborn - Holstein Kiel 0:4

02.09.2023 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:1

25.02.2023 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 1:1

Latest results of Paderborn

19.07.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 2:3 ✺

18.05.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Paderborn - Magdeburg 2:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

19.07.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel 1:4 ✺

07.07.2025 Minnesota United - Holstein Kiel 0:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Holstein Kiel - Freiburg 1:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	12	9	0	3	16:7	9	27
2	Paderborn	11	8	2	1	19:10	9	26
3	Elversberg	12	7	2	3	24:11	13	23
4	Darmstadt	12	6	4	2	19:11	8	22
5	Hannover	12	6	3	3	22:18	4	21
6	Karlsruher SC	12	6	3	3	19:18	1	21
7	Kaiserslautern	12	6	2	4	20:14	6	20
8	Hertha Berlin	12	6	2	4	15:10	5	20
9	Arminia Bielefeld	12	5	2	5	25:18	7	17
10	Nurnberg	12	4	3	5	13:16	-3	15
11	Preussen Munster	12	4	2	6	17:21	-4	14
12	Greuther Furth	12	4	1	7	18:30	-12	13
13	Holstein Kiel	11	3	3	5	12:12	0	12
14	Dusseldorf	11	3	2	6	10:19	-9	11
15	Bochum	11	3	1	7	14:18	-4	10
16	Braunschweig	11	3	1	7	12:22	-10	10
17	SG Dynamo Dresden	12	1	4	7	16:24	-8	7
18	Magdeburg	11	2	1	8	9:21	-12	7

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga