Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/418) | 88% (473/536) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/418) | 88% (473/536) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (46/64) | 73% (80/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.87 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Piscopo K. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. (Pen),
- 23', Crisetig L. 🟨,
- 25', Piscopo K. ↓, Cacciamani A. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Cacciamani A. ⚽, Mosti N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Crisetig L. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
- 46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Barreca A. ↑,
- 46', Varas K. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
- 56', Burnete R. 🟨,
- 59', Leone G. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 59', Burnete R. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
- 59', Bellich M. ↓, Stabile G. ↑,
- 64', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, De Pieri G. ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 2, Bortolussi M. ⚽, Fusi P. (A),
- 83', Faedo C. 🟨,
- 84', Fusi P. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mv86bscx
Chances of winning
Padova
35.9% | Draw
31.2% | Juve Stabia
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Padova - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62
(2.62) |
2.99 ↓
(3.04) |
2.86 ↑
(2.67) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Padova - Juve Stabia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Juve Stabia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Padova: Baselli D.
(Muscle Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
Pastina C.
(Knock)
Silva J.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Gabrielloni A.
(Injury)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Mosti N.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Juve Stabia?
Padova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Padova?
Juve Stabia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Juve Stabia were as follows:
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
