Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 12
- Referee: Tremolada P. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (514/571) | 77% (253/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (514/571) | 77% (253/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (26/43) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (117/150) | 61% (38/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Crisetig L. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
- 56', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 64', Perrotta M. 🟨,
- 65', Paoletti F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 69', Belli F. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
- 69', Favale G. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 70', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 72', Galuppini F. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 72', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 75', Bani C. 🟨,
- 76', Fusi P. ↓, Baselli D. ↑,
- 80', Bani C. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 80', Artioli F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Ruocco F. ⚽,
- 85', Ruocco F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Baselli D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
40.9% | Draw
29.4% | Padova
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mantova - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.34) |
3.21 ↓
(3.3) |
3.14 ↑
(2.88) |
6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Padova?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Padova will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mantova: Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Inactive)
Barreca A.
(Yellow Cards)
Papu Gomez
(Suspended)
Silva J.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Padova: Di Maggio L.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Padova?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Mantova?
Padova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Padova were as follows:
08.01.2024
Padova
-
Mantova
0:5
04.09.2023
Mantova
-
Padova
1:1
22.04.2023
Mantova
-
Padova
1:3
17.12.2022
Padova
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monza | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Cesena | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Venezia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Palermo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Avellino | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:22 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Padova | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Entella | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Bari | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 | Mantova | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Spezia | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Pescara | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
