Result
2:2
17/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 13
- Referee: Jaanovits J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Ribeiro J. (Own goal),
- 31', 1 - 1, Eerme K. ⚽, Kelement M. (A),
- 37', Kelement M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Delevic M. ↓, Dubackic D. ↑,
- 49', Dubackic D. 🟥,
- 53', Luts D. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
- 54', Saarma R. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 2, Eerme K. ⚽,
- 67', Hoim O. 🟨,
- 71', Hoim O. ↓, Gomis M. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Miller M. ⚽, Ojamaa H. (A),
- 75', Suppi S. 🟨,
- 78', Ojamaa H. 🟨,
- 79', Miller M. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 79', Suppi S. ↓, Jarve A. ↑,
- 80', Eerme K. ↓, Kose A. ↑,
- 84', Piht K. 🟨,
- 85', Ribeiro J. ↓, Ussa ↑,
- 90+2', Piht K. ↓, Ennuste K. ↑,
- 90+4', Corr P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paide LM
71.8% | Draw
16.9% | Harju JK Laagri
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.31) |
5.44 ↓
(5.52) |
8.12 ↑
(6.9) |
8.8%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).
- Recent form of Paide has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Harju has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paide is the clear favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Harju JK Laagri?
Paide LM has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harju JK Laagri won against Paide LM?
Harju JK Laagri has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri were as follows:
12.04.2025
Harju JK Laagri
-
Paide LM
1:2
08.10.2023
Paide LM
-
Harju JK Laagri
4:0
06.08.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Paide LM
0:1
11.06.2023
Harju JK Laagri
-
Paide LM
0:1
01.04.2023
Paide LM
-
Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Latest results of Paide LM
Latest results of Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 15 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
