Result
1:4
12/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 6
- Referee: Reinumagi E. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 22', 0 - 1, Sohna M. P. ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, Sohna M. P. ⚽, Lilander M. (A),
- 39', Aland R. ↓, Kiidjarv C. ↑,
- 43', 0 - 3, Nigula R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Baranov N. ↓, Juhkam G. ↑,
- 61', Marin P. 🟨,
- 63', Luts D. ↓, Jobarteh M. ↑,
- 63', Daniel Cabral ↓, Miller M. ↑,
- 63', Cham P. A. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
- 65', Lang T. ↓, Kauan Pereira ↑,
- 65', Uggeri G. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
- 66', Thomas Lisboa 🟨,
- 72', Kangaslahti O. ↓, Karis M. ↑,
- 72', Koskor T. ↓, Kiidron K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 4, Smirnov R. ⚽,
- 81', Piht K. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 4, Pedro Manoel ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tammeka
22.6% | Draw
22.8% | Paide LM
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tammeka's performance.Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paide LM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tammeka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paide LM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tammeka - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↓
(6.34) |
4.06 ↓
(4.7) |
1.69 ↑
(1.39) |
8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 0.
- In recent matches, Tammeka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paide is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Paide is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:42. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tammeka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tammeka won against Paide LM?
Tammeka has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Tammeka?
Paide LM has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tammeka - Paide LM were as follows:
29.10.2025
Paide LM
-
Tammeka
3:0
18.10.2025
Paide LM
-
Tammeka
5:0
23.08.2025
Tammeka
-
Paide LM
0:1
05.04.2025
Paide LM
-
Tammeka
1:0
26.01.2025
Tammeka
-
Paide LM
Canceled
Latest results of Tammeka
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Paide | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Levadia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Flora | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Narva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
