Result
5:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (282/410) | 62% (192/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.70 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (282/410) | 62% (192/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (36/84) | 33% (22/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (126/203) | 48% (32/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -1.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Szendrei A. ⚽,
- 21', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 43', Szoke G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Schuszter R. ↓, Pukhtyeyev M. ↑,
- 46', Szoke G. ↓, Berecz Z. ↑,
- 48', Berecz Z. ↓, Klausz M. ↑,
- 61', Pukhtyeyev M. 🟨,
- 61', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 61', Bevardi Z. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 64', Kartik B. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 0, Szendrei A. ⚽, Silye E. (A),
- 67', Gyurkits G. 🟨,
- 73', Ikoba E. ↓, Konyves N. ↑,
- 74', Racz L. 🟨,
- 75', Gyurkits G. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 75', Nyiri V. ↓, Baranyai N. ↑,
- 76', Silye E. ↓, Zeke M. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Pukhtyeyev M. ⚽, Klausz M. (A),
- 82', 3 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
- 85', Szendrei A. ↓, Vecsei B. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Adam M. (A),
- 90+4', Juhasz I. 🟨,
- 90+5', 5 - 1, Adam M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
65.4% | Draw
20% | Kazincbarcikai
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paksi SE's form might have worsened.Kazincbarcikai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paksi SE that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+2%)
Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.32) |
4.72 ↓
(5.47) |
6.34 ↓
(7.82) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kazincbarcikai will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Paks have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kazincbarcikai has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Kazincbarcikai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paks is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paks won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Paks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Kazincbarcikai?
Paksi SE has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kazincbarcikai won against Paksi SE?
Kazincbarcikai has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai were as follows:
14.12.2025
Kazincbarcikai
-
Paksi SE
0:2
29.08.2025
Paksi SE
-
Kazincbarcikai
3:0
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 52:28 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Zalaegerszegi | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Paks | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 54:39 | 15 | 44 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 47:58 | -11 | 29 |
| 11 | DVTK | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 27:60 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
