Result
29/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 6
- Referee: Erdos J. (Hun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 4.78 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
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| 32 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 13 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 71% (261/369) | 75% (284/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 4.78 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 3.91 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
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| 32 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 13 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 27 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 76 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 71% (261/369) | 75% (284/378) |
| Long passes |
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| 42% (27/65) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (130/191) | 59% (54/92) |
| Crosses |
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| 39% (14/36) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 3.98 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 32 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (12/19) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 65 | 45 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 59 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.09 | 3.91 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.09 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Szoke G. 🟨,
- 22', Papp K. 🟨,
- 43', Gyurkits G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Gyurkits G. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
- 46', Szendrei A. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 52', Ubochioma M. ↓, Szabo M. ↑,
- 53', Major M. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Toth B. ⚽,
- 64', Szoke G. ↓, Schuszter R. ↑,
- 69', Slogar M. 🟨,
- 69', Kinyik A. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 0, Bode D. ⚽, Toth B. (A),
- 80', Papp K. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
- 83', Toth B. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Lenzser B. ⚽,
- 90', Meskhi M. ↓, Rasheed S. A. ↑,
- 90', Slogar M. ↓, Makrai G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
65.5% | Draw
19.3% | Kazincbarcikai
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paksi SE's performance.Kazincbarcikai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kazincbarcikai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paksi SE that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kazincbarcikai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.65) |
4.81 ↑
(4.58) |
6.09 ↑
(3.91) |
7.5%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Paksi SE will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ NB II.).
- Paks is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kazincbarcikai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kazincbarcikai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Paks is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Kazincbarcikai?
Paksi SE has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kazincbarcikai won against Paksi SE?
Kazincbarcikai has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Kazincbarcikai were as follows:
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Debrecen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Ujpest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Gyor | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | DVTK | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcikai | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
