Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (239/372) | 60% (186/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (239/372) | 60% (186/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (40/89) | 27% (19/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (68/123) | 53% (60/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Olah B. 🟨,
- 27', Bevardi Z. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Hahn J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pinter F. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
- 46', Soltesz I. ↓, Szor L. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Mbock H. ⚽,
- 54', Szendrei A. 🟨,
- 56', Szendrei A. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
- 56', Mate C. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Cipetic B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 68', Bevardi Z. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
- 68', Balogh B. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 71', Alaxai A. 🟨,
- 76', Mbock H. ↓, Soltesz D. ↑,
- 86', Cipetic B. ↓, Yordanov T. ↑,
- 90+1', Matanovic M. ↓, Lippai T. ↑,
- 90+3', Szekszardi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kisvárda
34% | Draw
26.6% | Paksi SE
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Kisvárda - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(3.06) |
3.46 ↓
(3.54) |
2.34 ↑
(2.17) |
8.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kisvárda - Paksi SE?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Paks (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 0.
- Kisvárda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Paks has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Paks has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kisvárda won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Kisvárda won against Paksi SE?
Kisvárda has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Kisvárda?
Paksi SE has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kisvárda - Paksi SE were as follows:
08.11.2025
Paksi SE
-
Kisvárda
5:3
03.08.2025
Kisvárda
-
Paksi SE
1:5
02.04.2025
Kisvárda
-
Paksi SE
0:1
18.05.2024
Paksi SE
-
Kisvárda
2:1
23.04.2024
Paksi SE
-
Kisvárda
2:1
Latest results of Kisvárda
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 52:28 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Zalaegerszegi | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Debrecen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | Paks | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 54:39 | 15 | 44 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 38:46 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 47:58 | -11 | 29 |
| 11 | DVTK | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 27:60 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
