Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 23
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (323/411) | 64% (149/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (323/411) | 64% (149/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 24% (15/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (87/132) | 49% (49/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Romero M. ⚽, Pavez L. (A),
- 8', Carrasco B. 🟨,
- 10', Benitez J. 🟨,
- 28', Romero M. 🟨,
- 44', Felipe Ogaz 🟨,
- 44', Fernandez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Lugo M. 🟨,
- 57', Tapia J. ↓, Leiva J. ↑,
- 57', Lugo M. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 62', Carrasco B. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 62', Fernandez J. ↓, Bizama J. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Romero M. ⚽,
- 70', 1 - 2, Abrigo J. ⚽,
- 73', Meza F. 🟨,
- 76', Carabali O. 🟨,
- 78', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Morales C. ↑,
- 78', Felipe Ogaz ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
- 81', Marabel J. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 81', Tapia Paez G. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 82', Romero M. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 84', Pavez L. 🟨,
- 87', Benitez J. ↓, Alegria I. ↑,
- 88', Bovaglio L. 🟨,
- 90', Robledo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino
35.5% | Draw
30.4% | OHiggins
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OHiggins's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palestino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OHiggins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palestino - OHiggins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↑
(1.99) |
3.37 ↑
(3.35) |
2.9 ↓
(3.58) |
-2.2%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - OHiggins?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). OHiggins will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3.
- Palestino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- OHiggins is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Palestino could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against OHiggins?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Palestino?
OHiggins has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - OHiggins were as follows:
20.04.2025
OHiggins
-
Palestino
1:0
09.08.2024
Palestino
-
OHiggins
4:1
09.03.2024
OHiggins
-
Palestino
0:1
09.12.2023
OHiggins
-
Palestino
0:1
19.05.2023
Palestino
-
OHiggins
0:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. De Chile | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 39 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
