Result
1:2
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (251/329) | 78% (285/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (251/329) | 78% (285/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (96/148) | 63% (64/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (10/30) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 65% (17/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Pitton B. ↓, Del Blanco M. ↑,
- 29', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Gamba L. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
- 62', Carrasco B. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 62', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 63', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
- 69', Gamba L. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
- 69', Fragapane F. ↓, Corvalan C. ↑,
- 73', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 74', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 81', Fernandez J. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 82', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 2, Marabel J. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe
58.3% | Draw
25.3% | Palestino
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palestino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Unión Santa Fe - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.73) |
3.72 ↑
(3.59) |
5.68 ↑
(4.18) |
6.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Palestino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Palestino (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Palestino (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Unión (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1.25 - Palestino (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Palestino (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Unión Santa Fe will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Unión Santa Fe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Palestino (votes: 6 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Palestino?
Unión Santa Fe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Unión Santa Fe?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Palestino were as follows:
09.04.2025
Palestino
-
Unión Santa Fe
2:0
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Palestino
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
