Result
1:2
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2 |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Peru | DirecTV Sports |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | DGO Latin America |
Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
76% (251/329) | 78% (285/366) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.78 | 2.04 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
76% (251/329) | 78% (285/366) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (30/57) | 49% (25/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (96/148) | 63% (64/102) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (10/30) | 23% (6/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.15 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 65% (17/26) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 69 |
Clearances |
---|
37 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.04 | 1.78 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Pitton B. ↓, Del Blanco M. ↑,
- 29', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Gamba L. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
- 62', Carrasco B. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
- 62', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
- 63', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
- 69', Gamba L. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
- 69', Fragapane F. ↓, Corvalan C. ↑,
- 73', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 74', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 81', Fernandez J. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 82', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 84', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 2, Marabel J. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Chances of winning
Unión Santa Fe 58.3% | Draw 25.3% | Palestino 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palestino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Unión Santa Fe - Palestino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.73) |
3.72 ↑ (3.59) |
5.68 ↑ (4.18) |
6.6% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Palestino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Unión Santa Fe will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Santa Fe won against Palestino?
Unión Santa Fe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Unión Santa Fe?
Palestino has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Palestino were as follows:
09.04.2025
Palestino
-
Unión Santa Fe
2:0
Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
Latest results of Palestino
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal