Unión Santa Fe vs Palestino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Unión Santa Fe - Palestino
Result
1:2
07/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, DSports 1, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDirecTV Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, DSports 1, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.52
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
76% (251/329)78% (285/366)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.782.04
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
76% (251/329)78% (285/366)
Long passes
53% (30/57)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
65% (96/148)63% (64/102)
Crosses
33% (10/30)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.150.84
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1414
Tackles
62% (8/13)65% (17/26)
Duels won
4769
Clearances
3735
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.041.78
Goals prevented
0.040.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Pitton B. , Del Blanco M. ,
  • 29', Martinez M. , Profini R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Estigarribia M. , Diaz D. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Gamba L. , Palacios J. (A),
  • 62', Carrasco B. , Parra P. ,
  • 62', Benitez J. , Tapia Paez G. ,
  • 63', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
  • 69', Gamba L. , Domina J. ,
  • 69', Fragapane F. , Corvalan C. ,
  • 73', Abrigo J. , Arias J. ,
  • 74', Espinoza Hevia V. A. , Leon J. ,
  • 81', Fernandez J. , Castro F. ,
  • 82', Zuniga D. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Marabel J. , Arias J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Unión Santa Fe
58.3%
Draw
25.3%
Palestino
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25.4% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 26% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
  • Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palestino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Unión Santa Fe - Palestino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.73)
    3.72
    (3.59)
    5.68
    (4.18)
    6.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Unión Santa Fe - Palestino?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Santa Fe - Palestino were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Palestino - Unión Santa Fe 2:0
    Latest results of Unión Santa Fe
    Latest results of Palestino
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2