Result
0:2
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 1.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
76% (255/335) | 81% (333/412) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 1.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.13 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
76% (255/335) | 81% (333/412) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (27/53) | 42% (20/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (54/96) | 58% (56/96) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (4/21) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.56 | 0.43 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (12/21) | 64% (14/22) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 70 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.80 | 0.13 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 23', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Lucas Evangelista (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Murilo ↑,
- 46', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Rios R. ↑,
- 63', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 63', Allan ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 65', Rivas L. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 74', Rios R. 🟨,
- 75', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 75', Carrizo F. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 82', Viera W. 🟨,
- 82', Benitez A. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 82', Piris R. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 83', Estevao ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Vitor Roque ⚽, Paulinho (A),
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño 23.6% | Draw 28.8% | Palmeiras 47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.01 ↓ (4.41) |
3.27 ↓ (3.35) |
1.98 ↑ (1.88) |
6% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 50%). Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G.
(Inactive)
Melgarejo R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha
(Calf Injury)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Palmeiras?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Cerro Porteño?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras were as follows:
09.04.2025
Palmeiras
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
24.05.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Palmeiras
0:3
20.04.2023
Palmeiras
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)