Result
0:2
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (255/335) | 81% (333/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (255/335) | 81% (333/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (54/96) | 58% (56/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Bruno Fuchs 🟨,
- 23', Lucas Evangelista 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Lucas Evangelista (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bruno Fuchs ↓, Murilo ↑,
- 46', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Rios R. ↑,
- 63', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 63', Allan ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 65', Rivas L. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
- 74', Rios R. 🟨,
- 75', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 75', Carrizo F. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 82', Viera W. 🟨,
- 82', Benitez A. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 82', Piris R. ↓, Valdez B. ↑,
- 83', Estevao ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Vitor Roque ⚽, Paulinho (A),
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
23.6% | Draw
28.8% | Palmeiras
47.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.41) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
1.98 ↑
(1.88) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 50%). Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Gimenez G.
(Inactive)
Melgarejo R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Palmeiras: Marcos Rocha
(Calf Injury)
Micael
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:16. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Palmeiras?
Cerro Porteño has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Cerro Porteño?
Palmeiras has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras were as follows:
09.04.2025
Palmeiras
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
24.05.2023
Cerro Porteño
-
Palmeiras
0:3
20.04.2023
Palmeiras
-
Cerro Porteño
2:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Palmeiras
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
