Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        22/10/2023 at  17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 28
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Coritiba 21.9%
 | Draw 27.7%
 | Palmeiras 50.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+2%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Coritiba - Palmeiras Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 4.31 ↑ (4.29)
 | 3.45 ↓ (3.49)
 | 1.88 ↑ (1.82)
 | 5.3% (6.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Coritiba - Palmeiras?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Palmeiras will win 
                    (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 2. 
- Recent matches Coritiba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
- Palmeiras has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Coritiba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
- In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Boschilia
(Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Injury)
Thiago Dombroski
(Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Atuesta E.
(Knee Injury)
Dudu
(Injury)
 
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Coritiba won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17. 
- Including matches at home between the teams Coritiba won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Palmeiras?
                    
                    
                        
                            Coritiba has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Coritiba?
                    
                    
                        
                             Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Palmeiras were as follows:
                                                        
                                04.06.2023 
                                Palmeiras 
                                - 
                                Coritiba 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.10.2022 
                                Palmeiras 
                                - 
                                Coritiba 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Coritiba                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Palmeiras                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Palmeiras | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 62 | 
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 56:16 | 40 | 61 | 
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 57 | 
| 4 | Mirassol | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 52:31 | 21 | 55 | 
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 40:34 | 6 | 49 | 
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:28 | 13 | 47 | 
| 7 | Fluminense | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 44 | 
| 8 | Vasco | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 49:41 | 8 | 42 | 
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 41 | 
| 10 | Corinthians | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 | 
| 11 | Gremio | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 | 
| 12 | Bragantino | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34:47 | -13 | 36 | 
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 36 | 
| 14 | Ceara | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:28 | -1 | 35 | 
| 15 | Internacional | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 35 | 
| 16 | Santos | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 32 | 
| 17 | Vitoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:44 | -17 | 31 | 
| 18 | Fortaleza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 | 
| 19 | Juventude | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 24:56 | -32 | 26 | 
| 20 | Sport Recife | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 22:46 | -24 | 17 | 
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet