Fiorentina vs Panathinaikos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Panathinaikos
Result
3:1
13/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 7, Supersport Action, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusANT1, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Uno
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, FOX Sports 2
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenDisney+
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 10
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.66
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
211
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Free Kicks
1926
Offsides
20
Fouls
2619
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1713
Touches in the Opposition Box
2130
Passes
83% (316/382)83% (310/374)
Passes in the final third
66% (55/83)68% (78/115)
Crosses
8% (1/12)28% (5/18)
Tackles
60% (12/20)46% (6/13)
Clearances Total
1819
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 28', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Djuricic F. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 60', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 60', Cataldi D. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 70', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
  • 74', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 74', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 75', Swiderski K. , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Kean M. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 78', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 79', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 79', Ranieri L. , Zaniolo N. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
  • 82', Vitoria R. 🟨,
  • 82', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 83', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
  • 87', Tete , Pellistri F. ,
  • 87', Arao W. , Gnezda Cerin A. ,
  • 90+2', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dodo , Moreno M. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
64.1%
Draw
22.3%
Panathinaikos
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 29.7% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panathinaikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Fiorentina - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.8)
    4.27
    (3.6)
    6.94
    (4.91)
    5.8%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Panathinaikos?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.1%91.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.
    • Fiorentina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Panathinaikos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Folorunsho M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A. (Muscle Injury) Karakasidis G. (Inactive) Limnios D. (Inactive) Magnusson H. (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Palmer-Brown E. (Muscle Injury) Perez R. (Inactive) Schenkeveld B. (Inactive) Zeca (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Kotsiras G. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)