Fiorentina vs Panathinaikos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Panathinaikos
Result
3:1
13/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.571.66
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1617
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
54
Blocked Shots
211
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
55
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
Free Kicks
1926
Offsides
20
Fouls
2619
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1713
Touches in the Opposition Box
2130
Passes
83% (316/382)83% (310/374)
Passes in the final third
66% (55/83)68% (78/115)
Crosses
8% (1/12)28% (5/18)
Tackles
60% (12/20)46% (6/13)
Clearances Total
1819
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. ,
  • 28', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Djuricic F. , Ioannidis F. ,
  • 60', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 60', Cataldi D. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 70', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
  • 74', Pongracic M. 🟨,
  • 74', Swiderski K. 🟨,
  • 75', Swiderski K. , Jeremejeff A. ,
  • 75', 3 - 0, Kean M. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 78', Kean M. 🟨,
  • 79', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 79', Ranieri L. , Zaniolo N. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Ioannidis F. (Pen),
  • 82', Vitoria R. 🟨,
  • 82', Palladino R. 🟨,
  • 83', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
  • 87', Tete , Pellistri F. ,
  • 87', Arao W. , Gnezda Cerin A. ,
  • 90+2', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Dodo , Moreno M. ,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
64.1%
Draw
22.3%
Panathinaikos
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 26.8% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 29.7% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.
  • Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panathinaikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Fiorentina - Panathinaikos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.8)
    4.27
    (3.6)
    6.94
    (4.91)
    5.8%
    (3.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Panathinaikos?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 29 - 78.4%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 65.1%91.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.
    • Fiorentina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Panathinaikos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Folorunsho M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A. (Muscle Injury) Karakasidis G. (Inactive) Limnios D. (Inactive) Magnusson H. (Inactive) Nikas G. (Inactive) Palmer-Brown E. (Muscle Injury) Perez R. (Inactive) Schenkeveld B. (Inactive) Zeca (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Panathinaikos: Kotsiras G. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Panathinaikos were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1
    06.03.2025 Panathinaikos - Fiorentina 3:2
    28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0
    23.02.2025 Verona - Fiorentina 1:0
    16.02.2025 Fiorentina - Como 0:2
    Latest results of Panathinaikos
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    4VikingurLinfield
    6MilsamiVirtus
    8DifferdangeLevadia
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol
    18ArisAEK Athens FC
    19VikingBasaksehir
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    23LuganoCelje
    24OstravaAustria Vienna
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda
    27PartizanHibernian
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor
    34SK RapidDundee Utd
    35KlaksvikNeman
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana
    38St. PatricksBesiktas
    39LarneSanta Clara
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers
    41RosenborgHammarby
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem
    48ArazOmonia

    Final
    2ByeTBD #4
    3ByeTBD #6
    4ByeTBD #8
    5TBD #9Bye
    6StrasbourgTBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Crystal PalaceBye
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27Bye
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31Fiorentina
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35Rayo Vallecano
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41Mainz
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    24ByeTBD #48