Result
1:0
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | Stan Sport |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Finland | Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay |
France | Canal+ Live 16 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Norway | Viaplay |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16 |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
Usa | Paramount+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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3.38 | 0.06 |
Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Goal Attempts |
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32 | 2 |
Shots on Goal |
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13 | 0 |
Shots off Goal |
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15 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 11 |
Corner Kicks |
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12 | 2 |
Offsides |
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0 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 18 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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0 | 12 |
Fouls |
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11 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Total Passes |
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526 | 284 |
Completed Passes |
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447 | 188 |
Crosses Completed |
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14 | 3 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Kuat I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Seysen M. 🟨,
- 57', Quina D. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 68', Silva J. ↓, Correia J. ↑,
- 68', Bruno ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Anderson Silva ⚽, Jaja (A),
- 88', Basmanov S. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
- 90+1', Jairo ↓, Name M. ↑,
- 90+1', Karimov R. ↓, Mustafin B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paphos 75.5% | Draw 16.8% | Astana 7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paphos - Astana Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.26 ↓ (1.55) |
5.62 ↑ (3.85) |
11.95 ↑ (5) |
5.5% (10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paphos - Astana?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 61.2% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apollon Arena.
- Paphos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Paphos is indisputable favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Astana?
Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Paphos?
Astana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - Astana were as follows:
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)