Paphos vs Astana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Paphos - Astana
Result
1:0
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 16
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.380.06
Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
322
Shots on Goal
130
Shots off Goal
151
Blocked Shots
41
Free Kicks
611
Corner Kicks
122
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
2018
Goalkeeper Saves
012
Fouls
116
Yellow Cards
02
Total Passes
526284
Completed Passes
447188
Crosses Completed
143
Interceptions
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Kuat I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Seysen M. 🟨,
  • 57', Quina D. , Jaja ,
  • 68', Silva J. , Correia J. ,
  • 68', Bruno , Anderson Silva ,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Anderson Silva , Jaja (A),
  • 88', Basmanov S. , Zhaksylykov N. ,
  • 90+1', Jairo , Name M. ,
  • 90+1', Karimov R. , Mustafin B. ,

Chances of winning


Paphos
75.5%
Draw
16.8%
Astana
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.5% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 22.4% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.
  • Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paphos - Astana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.55)
    5.62
    (3.85)
    11.95
    (5)
    5.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paphos - Astana?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 61.2%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apollon Arena.
    • Paphos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Paphos is indisputable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paphos
    Latest results of Astana
    03.11.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Astana 1:0
    30.10.2024 Astana - Atyrau 3:2
    27.10.2024 Astana - Aktobe 2:0
    24.10.2024 The New Saints - Astana 2:0
    20.10.2024 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:3
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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