Result
1:0
07/11/2024 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 16 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.38 | 0.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 32 | 2 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 526 | 284 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 447 | 188 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Kuat I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Seysen M. 🟨,
- 57', Quina D. ↓, Jaja ↑,
- 68', Silva J. ↓, Correia J. ↑,
- 68', Bruno ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Anderson Silva ⚽, Jaja (A),
- 88', Basmanov S. ↓, Zhaksylykov N. ↑,
- 90+1', Jairo ↓, Name M. ↑,
- 90+1', Karimov R. ↓, Mustafin B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paphos
75.5% | Draw
16.8% | Astana
7.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paphos's performance.Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paphos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Astana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paphos - Astana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.26 ↓
(1.55) |
5.62 ↑
(3.85) |
11.95 ↑
(5) |
5.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paphos - Astana?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Astana will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 61.2% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apollon Arena.
- Paphos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Astana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Astana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Paphos is indisputable favorite.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Paphos won against Astana?
Paphos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Astana won against Paphos?
Astana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paphos - Astana were as follows:
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
