Le Havre vs Paris FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:0
07/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV6
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.17
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
84% (327/389)88% (452/516)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.701.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.290.17
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
22
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
84% (327/389)88% (452/516)
Long passes
38% (17/45)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
69% (59/86)74% (58/78)
Crosses
23% (7/30)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.75
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1013
Tackles
88% (7/8)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3439
Clearances
1318
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.170.29
Goals prevented
0.170.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Ebonog S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Marchetti V. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 66', Simon M. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
  • 72', Krasso J. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
  • 72', Ollila T. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
  • 73', Samatta A. ↓, Zagadou S. ↑,
  • 73', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
  • 77', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 77', Soumare I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 84', Sangante A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
  • 84', Ndiaye R. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
  • 89', Kebbal I. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,
  • 90', Camara A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Le Havre
33%		Draw
30.2%		Paris FC
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 28.5% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 29.9% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
    •

    Le Havre - Paris FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.88 ↑
    (2.77)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.32)    		 2.58 ↑
    (2.53)    		 5.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Paris FC?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 18.1% – 56.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Paris FC (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Toe Injury) Pizarro D. (Injury) Toure A. (Injury) Zagadou S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Hamstring Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Paris FC were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    03.02.2023 Le Havre - Paris FC 0:0
    30.12.2022 Paris FC - Le Havre 0:0
    Latest results of Le Havre
    30.11.2025 Le Havre - Lille 0:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 3:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Le Havre - Brest 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Paris FC
    29.11.2025 Paris FC - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Lille - Paris FC 4:2 ✺
    07.11.2025 Paris FC - Rennes 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Monaco - Paris FC 0:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paris FC - Lyon 3:3 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG23173352:193354
    2Lens23171544:202452
    3Lyon23143637:231445
    4Marseille23124748:311740
    5Lille23114836:31537
    6Rennes23107637:35237
    7Strasbourg23104939:30934
    8Monaco23104938:36234
    9Lorient2388732:36-432
    10Toulouse2387833:27631
    11Brest2386931:34-330
    12Angers23851022:28-629
    13Le Havre2368920:29-926
    14Nice23661130:43-1324
    15Paris FC23581027:40-1323
    16Auxerre23451417:33-1617
    17Nantes23451422:40-1817
    18Metz23341622:52-3013

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