Result
3:2
22/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (192/263) | 85% (313/368) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (192/263) | 85% (313/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (36/69) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (67/94) | 74% (95/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 30% (11/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, Immobile C. ⚽, Coppola D. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Seko A. (Own goal),
- 42', Vinette E. K. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 42', Mambimbi F. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', Matondo R. 🟥,
- 61', 2 - 1, Ndiaye R. ⚽, Boufal S. (A),
- 66', Ebonog S. 🟨,
- 72', Ikone J. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 73', Immobile C. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 75', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
- 75', Boufal S. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
- 84', Simon M. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Gory A. ⚽, Lees-Melou P. (A),
- 90+2', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Kyeremeh G. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Kyeremeh G. ⚽, Samatta A. (A),
Chances of winning
Paris FC
47.2% | Draw
29.5% | Le Havre
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Paris FC - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.07) |
3.24 ↑
(3.15) |
4.08 ↑
(3.87) |
4.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 0.
- Paris FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Le Havre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Paris FC is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Kebbal I.
(Injury)
Marchetti V.
(Injury)
Ollila T.
(Injury)
Riou R.
(Injury)
Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: Lloris G.
(Injury)
Toure A.
(Knee Injury)
Zagadou S.
(Red Card)
Zouaoui Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Ebonog S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Le Havre?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Paris FC?
Le Havre has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Le Havre were as follows:
07.12.2025
Le Havre
-
Paris FC
0:0
02.08.2025
Paris FC
-
Le Havre
1:1
03.02.2023
Le Havre
-
Paris FC
0:0
30.12.2022
Paris FC
-
Le Havre
0:0
Latest results of Paris FC
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Lille | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 45:34 | 11 | 50 |
| 5 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 6 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Rennes | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:40 | 7 | 47 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 39:35 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23:36 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Nice | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33:55 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 | Nantes | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
