Result
3:3
29/10/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 10
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/455) | 86% (371/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (388/455) | 86% (371/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (81/112) | 65% (43/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Greif D. (A),
- 23', Ikone J. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
- 25', Chergui S. 🟨,
- 32', Camara A. 🟨,
- 35', De Smet T. 🟨,
- 45+1', Karabec A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 2, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 55', de Carvalho M. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 3, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 61', Abner Vinicius 🟥,
- 65', 1 - 3, Camara A. ⚽, De Smet T. (A),
- 67', De Smet T. 🟨,
- 68', Karabec A. ↓, Tagliafico N. ↑,
- 68', Tolisso C. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
- 71', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 71', Camara A. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 73', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
- 74', Moreira A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 3, Kebbal I. ⚽,
- 83', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 3, Marchetti V. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
- 85', Sulc P. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
- 90+7', Mbow M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
34.8% | Draw
27% | Lyon
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Paris FC - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.73) |
3.56 ↑
(3.35) |
2.5 ↓
(2.61) |
4.5%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lyon?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 47.9% – 78.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Lyon (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Paris FC (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lyon (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Paris FC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lyon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lyon has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Sangui N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Mangala O.
(Knee Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hamel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lopez J.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lyon?
Paris FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Paris FC?
Lyon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Lyon were as follows:
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 48:16 | 32 | 51 |
| 2 | Lens | 21 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 37:17 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Lyon | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 34:20 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Marseille | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 46:27 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Rennes | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 31:34 | -3 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 34:27 | 7 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 | Angers | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Monaco | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | Lorient | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27:33 | -6 | 28 |
| 12 | Brest | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:26 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Nice | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 17 | Nantes | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 14 |
| 18 | Metz | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
