Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (492/556) | 80% (286/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (492/556) | 80% (286/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 32% (16/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (118/153) | 68% (55/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/35) | 70% (7/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Morton T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
- 58', Tagliafico N. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
- 58', Merah K. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Munetsi M. ⚽,
- 65', Karabec A. ↓, Endrick ↑,
- 65', Tessmann T. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
- 73', Ikone J. ↓, Immobile C. ↑,
- 73', Krasso J. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
- 73', Simon M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 82', Himbert R. ↓, Hamdani A. ↑,
- 87', Matondo R. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 90+1', Munetsi M. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Tolisso C. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Lyon
56.6% | Draw
24.5% | Paris FC
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1%)
Lyon - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.64) |
3.95 ↑
(3.89) |
5.11 ↓
(5.18) |
4.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lyon - Paris FC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Lyon (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Paris FC (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(48 of 60 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.88% – 90.12%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 20 - 87%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paris FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Kamara N.
(Inactive)
Kluivert R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maitland-Niles A.
(Injury)
Moreira A.
(Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Sulc P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Chergui S.
(Injury)
De Smet T.
(Red Card)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Kebbal I.
(Yellow Cards)
Lopez M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Otavio
(Yellow Cards)
Riou R.
(Injury)
Traore H.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Paris FC?
Lyon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Lyon?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Paris FC were as follows:
29.10.2025
Paris FC
-
Lyon
3:3
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
