Paris FC vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
29/10/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.27
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (388/455)86% (371/433)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.942.57
Total shots
117
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
85% (388/455)86% (371/433)
Long passes
57% (26/46)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
72% (81/112)65% (43/66)
Crosses
33% (8/24)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.92
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1816
Tackles
53% (10/19)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5456
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
2.571.94
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. , Greif D. (A),
  • 23', Ikone J. , Simon M. ,
  • 25', Chergui S. 🟨,
  • 32', Camara A. 🟨,
  • 35', De Smet T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Karabec A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Sulc P. , Moreira A. (A),
  • 55', de Carvalho M. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 3, Sulc P. , Moreira A. (A),
  • 61', Abner Vinicius 🟥,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Camara A. , De Smet T. (A),
  • 67', De Smet T. 🟨,
  • 68', Karabec A. , Tagliafico N. ,
  • 68', Tolisso C. , Tessmann T. ,
  • 71', Geubbels W. , Krasso J. ,
  • 71', Camara A. , Ollila T. ,
  • 73', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 74', Moreira A. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 77', 2 - 3, Kebbal I. ,
  • 83', Lees-Melou P. , Marchetti V. ,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Marchetti V. , Kebbal I. (A),
  • 85', Sulc P. , Satriano M. ,
  • 90+7', Mbow M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
34.8%
Draw
27%
Lyon
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 28.5% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.9% 36.1%

Paris FC - Lyon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.75
(2.73)
3.56
(3.35)
2.5
(2.61)
4.5%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 47.9%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Lyon (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Paris FC (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 25%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Paris FC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lyon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Sangui N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M. (Muscle Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Lopez J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Paris FC
    24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2
    19.10.2025 Lens - Paris FC 2:1
    03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3
    Latest results of Lyon
    26.10.2025 Lyon - Strasbourg 2:1
    23.10.2025 Lyon - Basel 2:0
    18.10.2025 Nice - Lyon 3:2
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2
    02.10.2025 Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg 2:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2