Paris FC vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:3
29/10/2025 at 16:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.27
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (388/455)86% (371/433)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.942.57
Total shots
117
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
85% (388/455)86% (371/433)
Long passes
57% (26/46)49% (25/51)
Passes in final third
72% (81/112)65% (43/66)
Crosses
33% (8/24)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.92
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1816
Tackles
53% (10/19)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5456
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
2.571.94
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Greif D. (A),
  • 23', Ikone J. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
  • 25', Chergui S. 🟨,
  • 32', Camara A. 🟨,
  • 35', De Smet T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Karabec A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
  • 55', de Carvalho M. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 3, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
  • 61', Abner Vinicius 🟥,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Camara A. ⚽, De Smet T. (A),
  • 67', De Smet T. 🟨,
  • 68', Karabec A. ↓, Tagliafico N. ↑,
  • 68', Tolisso C. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
  • 71', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 71', Camara A. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
  • 73', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
  • 74', Moreira A. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
  • 77', 2 - 3, Kebbal I. ⚽,
  • 83', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 3, Marchetti V. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
  • 85', Sulc P. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
  • 90+7', Mbow M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
34.8%		Draw
27%		Lyon
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 28.5% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 28.9% 36.1%

Paris FC - Lyon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.75 ↑
(2.73)		 3.56 ↑
(3.35)		 2.5 ↓
(2.61)		 4.5%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 8 - 21.1%). Lyon will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 47.9% – 78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Paris FC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lyon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lyon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Lyon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Sangui N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Knee Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M. (Muscle Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Lopez J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Paris FC
    24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lens - Paris FC 2:1 ✺
    03.10.2025 Paris FC - Lorient 2:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Nice - Paris FC 1:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Paris FC - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Lyon
    26.10.2025 Lyon - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Lyon - Basel 2:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Nice - Lyon 3:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2 ✺
    02.10.2025 Lyon - Red Bull Salzburg 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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