Paris FC vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.071.47
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2414
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
146
Passes
88% (424/483)87% (410/469)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.071.47
xG on target (xGOT)
3.541.26
Total shots
2414
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
127
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
1910
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
146
Touches in opposition box
4425
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
84
Passes
88% (424/483)87% (410/469)
Long passes
57% (25/44)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
75% (110/146)73% (46/63)
Crosses
22% (6/27)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.98
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
48
Tackles
43% (3/7)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3337
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.263.54
Goals prevented
-0.740.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Sane S. , Hein G. (A),
  • 45+1', Sane S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Kebbal I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Kebbal I. , Simon M. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 2, Traore B. , Tsitaishvili G. (A),
  • 62', Abuashvili G. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 62', Tsitaishvili G. , Sane I. ,
  • 66', Camara A. , Lees-Melou P. ,
  • 66', Geubbels W. , Krasso J. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Simon M. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 69', Otavio 🟨,
  • 77', De Smet T. , Sangui N. ,
  • 77', Yegbe T. , Toure A. ,
  • 80', Sane S. 🟥,
  • 90', Simon M. , Dicko N. ,
  • 90', Marchetti V. , Cafaro M. ,
  • 90+1', Gueye I. , Madjo B. ,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
54.1%
Draw
24.9%
Metz
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.1% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.8% 24.1%

Paris FC - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(1.9)
3.82
(3.4)
4.53
(3.8)
4.8%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Metz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 50%). Metz (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Paris FC is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Gory A. (Ankle Injury) Hamel P. (Muscle Injury) Nkambadio O. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Metz were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Metz - Paris FC 3:1
    14.09.2024 Paris FC - Metz 1:2
    12.11.2022 Paris FC - Metz 1:4
    Latest results of Paris FC
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    06.08.2025 Paris FC - UNFP 2:2
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    Latest results of Metz
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    02.08.2025 Troyes - Metz 0:1
    26.07.2025 Lens - Metz 2:1
    19.07.2025 Metz - Red Star 4:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Angers1664617:18-122
    10Toulouse1555521:19220
    11Brest1554620:24-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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