Paris FC vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.071.47
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2414
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
146
Passes
88% (424/483)87% (410/469)
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.071.47
xG on target (xGOT)
3.541.26
Total shots
2414
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
127
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
1910
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
146
Touches in opposition box
4425
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
84
Passes
88% (424/483)87% (410/469)
Long passes
57% (25/44)51% (25/49)
Passes in final third
75% (110/146)73% (46/63)
Crosses
22% (6/27)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.98
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
48
Tackles
43% (3/7)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3337
Clearances
2536
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
1.263.54
Goals prevented
-0.740.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Sane S. , Hein G. (A),
  • 45+1', Sane S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Kebbal I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 1, Kebbal I. , Simon M. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 2, Traore B. , Tsitaishvili G. (A),
  • 62', Abuashvili G. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 62', Tsitaishvili G. , Sane I. ,
  • 66', Camara A. , Lees-Melou P. ,
  • 66', Geubbels W. , Krasso J. ,
  • 67', 3 - 2, Simon M. , Lopez M. (A),
  • 69', Otavio 🟨,
  • 77', De Smet T. , Sangui N. ,
  • 77', Yegbe T. , Toure A. ,
  • 80', Sane S. 🟥,
  • 90', Simon M. , Dicko N. ,
  • 90', Marchetti V. , Cafaro M. ,
  • 90+1', Gueye I. , Madjo B. ,

Chances of winning


Paris FC
54.1%
Draw
24.9%
Metz
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.1% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 26.8% 24.1%

Paris FC - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(1.9)
3.82
(3.4)
4.53
(3.8)
4.8%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Metz?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Metz (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Paris FC (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Metz (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Paris FC is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Gory A. (Ankle Injury) Hamel P. (Muscle Injury) Nkambadio O. (Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Metz were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Metz - Paris FC 3:1
    14.09.2024 Paris FC - Metz 1:2
    12.11.2022 Paris FC - Metz 1:4
    Latest results of Paris FC
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    06.08.2025 Paris FC - UNFP 2:2
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    Latest results of Metz
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    02.08.2025 Troyes - Metz 0:1
    26.07.2025 Lens - Metz 2:1
    19.07.2025 Metz - Red Star 4:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG20153243:162748
    2Lens20151434:161846
    3Marseille20123546:222439
    4Lyon20123533:201339
    5Lille20102834:30432
    6Rennes2087530:31-131
    7Strasbourg2093833:25830
    8Toulouse2086631:23830
    9Lorient2077627:31-428
    10Monaco2083932:33-127
    11Angers2075821:25-426
    12Brest2065926:33-723
    13Nice20641027:38-1122
    14Paris FC2056926:34-821
    15Le Havre2048816:25-920
    16Nantes20351219:36-1714
    17Auxerre20341314:29-1513
    18Metz20331421:46-2512

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