Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (424/483) | 87% (410/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.54 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 44 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (424/483) | 87% (410/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 51% (25/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (110/146) | 73% (46/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 3.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Sane S. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
- 45+1', Sane S. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Kebbal I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Kebbal I. ⚽, Simon M. (A),
- 54', 2 - 2, Traore B. ⚽, Tsitaishvili G. (A),
- 62', Abuashvili G. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 62', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 66', Camara A. ↓, Lees-Melou P. ↑,
- 66', Geubbels W. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Simon M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
- 69', Otavio 🟨,
- 77', De Smet T. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
- 77', Yegbe T. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 80', Sane S. 🟥,
- 90', Simon M. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 90', Marchetti V. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
- 90+1', Gueye I. ↓, Madjo B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris FC
54.1% | Draw
24.9% | Metz
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Paris FC - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.9) |
3.82 ↑
(3.4) |
4.53 ↑
(3.8) |
4.8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Metz?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Metz (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Paris FC (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Paris FC will win
(17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Metz (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Paris FC is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Mboula U.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Gory A.
(Ankle Injury)
Hamel P.
(Muscle Injury)
Nkambadio O.
(Tendon Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Metz?
Paris FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Paris FC?
Metz has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Metz were as follows:
18.01.2025
Metz
-
Paris FC
3:1
14.09.2024
Paris FC
-
Metz
1:2
12.11.2022
Paris FC
-
Metz
1:4
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
