Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 5
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (575/634) | 84% (345/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (575/634) | 84% (345/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (24/34) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (137/167) | 63% (46/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Godo M. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Paez K. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Geubbels W. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
- 60', Panichelli J. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
- 61', Godo M. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
- 61', Paez K. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
- 69', Traore H. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
- 70', Simon M. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
- 73', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 73', El Mourabet S. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
- 74', Sarr M. 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 2, Doue G. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
- 81', 1 - 2, Dicko N. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
- 85', Moreira D. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Emegha E. ⚽, Doukoure I. (A),
- 89', Sangui N. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
- 90', Emegha E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Barco V. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Gory A. ⚽, Dicko N. (A),
- 90+10', Penders M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2rbmdb77
Chances of winning
Paris FC
40.2% | Draw
27.4% | Strasbourg
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Paris FC - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.57) |
3.53 ↑
(3.47) |
2.96 ↑
(2.66) |
3.9%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 21 - 56.8%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 40.8% – 72.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Paris FC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Strasbourg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Paris FC: Hamel P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Otavio
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Enciso J.
(Knee Injury)
Hogsberg L.
(Red Card)
Nanasi S.
(Injury)
Nzingoula R.
(Red Card)
Oyedele M.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
Sylla A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Ikone J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Traore H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Strasbourg?
Paris FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Paris FC?
Strasbourg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris FC - Strasbourg were as follows:
Latest results of Paris FC
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Lille | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Rennes | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
