Paris FC vs Strasbourg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:3
21/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 5
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.572.33
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
91% (575/634)84% (345/413)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.572.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.992.76
Total shots
188
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3725
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
91% (575/634)84% (345/413)
Long passes
71% (24/34)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
82% (137/167)63% (46/73)
Crosses
27% (8/30)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.79
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1110
Tackles
65% (13/20)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
1733
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
2.760.99
Goals prevented
-0.24-1.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Godo M. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Paez K. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Geubbels W. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
  • 60', Panichelli J. ↓, Emegha E. ↑,
  • 61', Godo M. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
  • 61', Paez K. ↓, Lemarechal F. ↑,
  • 69', Traore H. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
  • 70', Simon M. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
  • 73', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 73', El Mourabet S. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
  • 74', Sarr M. 🟨,
  • 78', 0 - 2, Doue G. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
  • 81', 1 - 2, Dicko N. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
  • 85', Moreira D. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Emegha E. ⚽, Doukoure I. (A),
  • 89', Sangui N. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
  • 90', Emegha E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Barco V. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Gory A. ⚽, Dicko N. (A),
  • 90+10', Penders M. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2rbmdb77

Chances of winning


Paris FC
40.2%		Draw
27.4%		Strasbourg
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 27.4% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 28.4% 34.5%

Paris FC - Strasbourg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.4 ↓
(2.57)		 3.53 ↑
(3.47)		 2.96 ↑
(2.66)		 3.9%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paris FC - Strasbourg?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 21 - 56.8%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 40.8% – 72.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Paris FC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Strasbourg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Paris FC has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Paris FC: Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Otavio (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Hogsberg L. (Red Card) Nanasi S. (Injury) Nzingoula R. (Red Card) Oyedele M. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paris FC: Ikone J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Traore H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Paris FC
    14.09.2025 Brest - Paris FC 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    17.08.2025 Angers - Paris FC 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Nantes - Paris FC 2:3
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    14.09.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2 ✺
    28.08.2025 Brøndby - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    21.08.2025 Strasbourg - Brøndby 0:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

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