Paris Saint-Germain vs Nice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1
Soccer French Ligue 1 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice
Result
1:3
25/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Paris Saint-Germain - Nice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.780.96
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
327
Shots on target
133
Big Chances
94
Corner Kicks
170
Passes
92% (718/781)77% (193/250)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.780.96
xG on target (xGOT)
3.110.86
Total shots
327
Shots on target
133
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
121
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
121
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
94
Corner Kicks
170
Touches in opposition box
5711
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
119
Passes
92% (718/781)77% (193/250)
Long passes
71% (25/35)37% (14/38)
Passes in final third
87% (276/317)59% (27/46)
Crosses
31% (9/29)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.940.52
Throw-ins
1912
Fouls
911
Tackles
65% (11/17)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
331
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
012
xGOT faced
0.863.11
Goals prevented
-2.142.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Sanson M. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 43', Abdi A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Neves J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Sanson M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
  • 59', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
  • 59', Neves J. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 67', Abdelmonem M. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
  • 67', Sanson M. ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
  • 68', Mendes N. 🟨,
  • 68', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 69', Marquinhos ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 3, Ndayishimiye Y. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
  • 72', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
  • 75', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
  • 78', Ruiz F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
  • 86', Abdi A. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
  • 86', Laborde G. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
55.5%		Draw
21.9%		Nice
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 16.5% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73% 16% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↑
    (1.34)    		 4.39 ↓
    (5.73)    		 4.29 ↓
    (7.37)    		 4.3%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 47.9% – 78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Nice (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 3.
    • PSG is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match PSG is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Nice: Dante (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:19 (average 1.9:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Nice were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    15.05.2024 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2
    13.03.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 3:1
    15.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 2:3
    08.04.2023 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺
    15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Angers 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    20.04.2025 Nice - Angers 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2 ✺
    04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1 ✺
    14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Paris Saint-Germain - Nice?
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