Paris Saint-Germain vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Parc des Princes (Paris).

Ligue 1 - Round 31
Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
India	GXR World
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2, Sport TV4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.78	0.96
Ball Possession
76%	24%
Total shots
32	7
Shots on target
13	3
Big Chances
9	4
Corner Kicks
17	0
Passes
92% (718/781)	77% (193/250)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
3.11	0.86
Total shots
32	7
Shots on target
13	3
Shots off target
7	3
Blocked Shots
12	1
Shots inside the Box
20	6
Shots outside the Box
12	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
9	4
Corner Kicks
17	0
Touches in opposition box
57	11
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
11	9
Passes
92% (718/781)	77% (193/250)
Long passes
71% (25/35)	37% (14/38)
Passes in final third
87% (276/317)	59% (27/46)
Crosses
31% (9/29)	50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.94	0.52
Throw-ins
19	12
Fouls
9	11
Tackles
65% (11/17)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
38	43
Clearances
3	31
Interceptions
4	14
Errors leading to shot
1	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	12
xGOT faced
0.86	3.11
Goals prevented
-2.14	2.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Sanson M. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
43', Abdi A. 🟨,
45+2', Neves J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 1 - 2, Sanson M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
59', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
59', Neves J. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
67', Abdelmonem M. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
67', Sanson M. ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
68', Mendes N. 🟨,
68', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
69', Marquinhos ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
70', 1 - 3, Ndayishimiye Y. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
72', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
75', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
78', Ruiz F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
86', Abdi A. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
86', Laborde G. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Paris Saint-Germain
55.5%

Draw
21.9%

Nice
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

16.5%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

16%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paris Saint-Germain - Nice Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.34)	4.39 ↓ (5.73)	4.29 ↓ (7.37)	4.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Nice?

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 47.9% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).

AH -0.5 - Nice (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 3.
PSG is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match PSG is a favorite.
There will not play in Nice: Dante (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:19 (average 1.9:1).
Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Nice?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Nice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Nice were as follows:

06.10.2024 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1

15.05.2024 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 1:2

13.03.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 3:1

15.09.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Nice 2:3

08.04.2023 Nice - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺

15.04.2025 Aston Villa - Paris Saint-Germain 3:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Angers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Nice

20.04.2025 Nice - Angers 2:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Nice - Nantes 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Le Havre	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Lille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Lorient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Metz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Nantes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Nice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	PSG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Strasbourg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Angers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Brest	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Marseille	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Toulouse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Lens	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rennes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lyon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2