Result
1:3
25/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV2, Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (718/781) | 77% (193/250) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 57 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (718/781) | 77% (193/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (25/35) | 37% (14/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (276/317) | 59% (27/46) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.14 | 2.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, Sanson M. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
- 43', Abdi A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Neves J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 2, Sanson M. ⚽, Clauss J. (A),
- 59', Doue D. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
- 59', Neves J. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
- 67', Abdelmonem M. ↓, Mendy A. ↑,
- 67', Sanson M. ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
- 68', Mendes N. 🟨,
- 68', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 69', Marquinhos ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Ndayishimiye Y. ⚽, Bouanani B. (A),
- 72', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
- 75', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 78', Ruiz F. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
- 86', Abdi A. ↓, Louchet T. ↑,
- 86', Laborde G. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paris Saint-Germain 55.5% | Draw 21.9% | Nice 22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paris Saint-Germain's form might have worsened.Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paris Saint-Germain - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.34) |
4.39 ↓ (5.73) |
4.29 ↓ (7.37) |
4.3% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Nice?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 47.9% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
- AH -0.5 - Nice (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- PSG is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 3.
- PSG is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match PSG is a favorite.
- There will not play in Nice: Dante
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches PSG won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:19 (average 1.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:11 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Nice?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Nice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Nice were as follows:
06.10.2024
Nice
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
15.05.2024
Nice
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:2
13.03.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Nice
3:1
15.09.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Nice
2:3
08.04.2023
Nice
-
Paris Saint-Germain
0:2
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2