Parma vs Lazio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 15
  • Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
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bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
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polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
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united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, CBS, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.35
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
86% (315/365)85% (368/435)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.791.46
Total shots
1915
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
814
Passes
86% (315/365)85% (368/435)
Long passes
54% (20/37)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
73% (66/90)66% (68/103)
Crosses
24% (9/38)39% (7/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.57
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
148
Tackles
17% (1/6)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3745
Clearances
2139
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.460.79
Goals prevented
0.460.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Zaccagni M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Del Prato E. , Troilo M. ,
  • 51', Valeri E. 🟨,
  • 63', Cancellieri M. 🟨,
  • 69', Castellanos T. , Noslin T. ,
  • 70', Cancellieri M. , Dele-Bashiru F. ,
  • 70', Patric , Provstgaard O. ,
  • 70', Oristanio G. , Ondrejka J. ,
  • 77', Benedyczak A. , Cutrone P. ,
  • 78', Basic T. 🟥,
  • 78', Estevez N. 🟨,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Noslin T. ,
  • 86', Keita M. , Djuric M. ,
  • 88', Cataldi D. , Vecino M. ,

Chances of winning


Parma
25%
Draw
29.6%
Lazio
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 27.6% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 26.7% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Parma - Lazio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.86
    (3.64)
    3.24
    (3.44)
    2.1
    (2.05)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Parma - Lazio?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Lazio will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 42.8%80.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Parma (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Parma (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lazio (1.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 3 - 50%). Lazio (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lazio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Parma: Circati A. (Leg Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye A. (Groin Injury) Suzuki Z. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Gila M. (Red Card) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Isaksen G. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Parma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Lazio were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2
    01.12.2024 Parma - Lazio 3:1
    Latest results of Parma
    08.12.2025 Pisa - Parma 0:1
    04.12.2025 Bologna - Parma 2:1
    29.11.2025 Parma - Udinese 0:2
    23.11.2025 Verona - Parma 1:2
    08.11.2025 Parma - Milan 2:2
    Latest results of Lazio
    07.12.2025 Lazio - Bologna 1:1
    04.12.2025 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    29.11.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:0
    23.11.2025 Lazio - Lecce 2:0
    09.11.2025 Inter Milan - Lazio 2:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B