Lazio vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 31
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 3
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.400.44
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
77
Shots on target
34
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
72
Passes
93% (534/576)85% (323/381)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.400.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.28
Total shots
77
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
31
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
54
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
812
Passes
93% (534/576)85% (323/381)
Long passes
76% (25/33)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
88% (200/228)61% (36/59)
Crosses
13% (4/31)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.20
Throw ins
2721
Fouls
128
Tackles
30% (3/10)70% (7/10)
Duels won
2439
Clearances
831
Interceptions
82
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.281.09
Goals prevented
0.280.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Delprato E. ,
  • 27', Strefezza G. 🟨,
  • 32', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Marusic A. , Lazzari M. ,
  • 58', Pedro , Noslin T. ,
  • 58', Isaksen G. , Cancellieri M. ,
  • 65', Maldini D. , Dia B. ,
  • 71', Nicolussi Caviglia H. , Estevez N. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Noslin T. , Taylor K. (A),
  • 80', Bernabe A. , Ordonez C. ,
  • 81', Strefezza G. , Oristanio G. ,
  • 87', Noslin T. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Keita M. , Sorensen O. ,
  • 90+2', Britschgi S. , Carboni F. ,

Chances of winning


Lazio
48.6%
Draw
29.8%
Parma
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 27.3% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 27.1% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Lazio - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.8)
    3.19
    (3.48)
    4.45
    (4.76)
    4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Lazio - Parma?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Parma (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lazio will win (30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.46%93.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lazio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 75%). Parma (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 3.
    • Lazio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Parma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Lazio is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Provedel I. (Shoulder Injury) Rovella N. (Broken collarbone) Zaccagni M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury) Cremaschi B. (Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Troilo M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Lazio: Basic T. (Muscle Injury) Gila M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 1.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lazio - Parma were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Parma - Lazio 0:1
    28.04.2025 Lazio - Parma 2:2
    01.12.2024 Parma - Lazio 3:1
    Latest results of Lazio
    22.03.2026 Bologna - Lazio 0:2
    15.03.2026 Lazio - Milan 1:0
    09.03.2026 Lazio - Sassuolo 2:1
    04.03.2026 Lazio - Atalanta 2:2
    01.03.2026 Torino - Lazio 2:0
    Latest results of Parma
    21.03.2026 Parma - Cremonese 0:2
    13.03.2026 Torino - Parma 4:1
    08.03.2026 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    27.02.2026 Parma - Cagliari 1:1
    22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma311731142:281454
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa312121723:55-3218

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B