Result
2:1
20/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 21
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Kauber K. (Pen),
- 33', Antonov I. 🟨,
- 43', Kivi A. 🟨,
- 44', Kauber K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 1, Kivi A. ⚽, Pihela O. (A),
- 62', Paalberg M. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
- 68', Aer S. ↓, Aloe K. ↑,
- 68', Kauber K. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 70', Kivi A. ↓, Lipp O. ↑,
- 70', Demidov E. ↓, Pevtsov G. ↑,
- 77', Domov P. ↓, Smirnov A. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Leivategija M. ⚽,
- 88', Poder J. 🟨,
- 88', Leivategija M. ↓, Sinilaid S. ↑,
- 88', Limberg M. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kuressaare
30% | Draw
27.8% | Pärnu Vaprus
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kuressaare's form might have worsened.Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kuressaare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.5) |
3.31 ↓
(3.75) |
2.18 ↓
(2.25) |
8.6%
(11.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Kuressaare will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 1.
- Kuressaare is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Pärnu Vaprus has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of home games.
- Pärnu Vaprus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Kuressaare has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Kuressaare?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
01.06.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Kuressaare
2:1
18.04.2025
Kuressaare
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:0
01.02.2025
Kuressaare
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:2
06.10.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Kuressaare
3:1
28.07.2024
Kuressaare
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:1
Latest results of Kuressaare
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
