Result
0:0
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 7
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Jalgpall.ee |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Kapper S. 🟨,
- 21', Poder J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Marin P. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
- 56', Pedmanson H. 🟨,
- 63', Poder J. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
- 63', Kapper S. ↓, Viidas S. ↑,
- 64', Kauan Pereira 🟨,
- 87', Veelma P. 🟨,
- 87', Pajo T. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 90+1', Pedmanson H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
33% | Draw
25.4% | Tammeka
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tammeka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tammeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.28) |
3.63 ↑
(3.6) |
2.22 ↓
(2.6) |
8.2%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tammeka (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tammeka will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 9 in the zone Meistriliiga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 4.
- Pärnu Vaprus has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tammeka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pärnu Vaprus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:27. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tammeka?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tammeka won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tammeka has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka were as follows:
16.09.2025
Tammeka
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:4
15.08.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tammeka
8:1
17.05.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tammeka
2:1
29.03.2025
Tammeka
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:5
16.02.2025
Tammeka
-
Pärnu Vaprus
6:1
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Tammeka
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Flora | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Harju JK Laagri | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
