Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 7
- Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Estonia | Jalgpall.ee |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Kivi A. ⚽, Prunn S. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Burjanadze S. ⚽, Poliakov D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Burjanadze S. 🟨,
- 55', Andreas D. 🟨,
- 61', Talu R. ↓, Roivassepp G. ↑,
- 74', Skinjov A. ↓, Rowe H. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Vahermagi J. ⚽, Andreas D. (A),
- 82', Poliakov D. ↓, Miranda da Silva K. ↑,
- 82', Gero A. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 90', Doke J. ↓, Imeh J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans 50.3% | Draw 23.3% | Kuressaare 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Narva Trans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kuressaare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Narva Trans - Kuressaare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.69) |
3.98 ↑ (3.8) |
3.51 ↓ (4.24) |
8% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Narva Trans - Kuressaare?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kuressaare will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Narva Trans is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Kuressaare?
Narva Trans has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Narva Trans?
Kuressaare has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Kuressaare were as follows:
21.02.2026
Kuressaare
-
Narva Trans
2:2
20.09.2025
Kuressaare
-
Narva Trans
0:0
05.07.2025
Narva Trans
-
Kuressaare
3:2
27.04.2025
Kuressaare
-
Narva Trans
2:1
08.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Kuressaare
0:2
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 17 | 21 |
| 2 | Kalju | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 | 19 |
| 3 | Paide | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Flora | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Narva | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga