Result
1:1
10/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (363/462) | 79% (344/438) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (66/116) | 61% (71/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 36% (4/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Youssouf B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Courtet G. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 63', Skytta N. ↓, Queiros D. ↑,
- 67', Arconte T. ↓, Boutaib K. ↑,
- 67', Gasnier K. ↓, Gaspar J. ↑,
- 70', Youssouf B. 🟨,
- 75', Mille A. 🟨,
- 75', Essimi M. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 78', Diawara K. ↓, Beusnard S. ↑,
- 78', Mille A. ↓, Njoh Y. ↑,
- 78', Ortola A. 🟨,
- 83', Mboup P. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 1, Boutaib K. ⚽,
- 90+3', Mohamed I. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
- 90+3', Youssouf B. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau
36.6% | Draw
28.5% | Dunkerque
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunkerque's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunkerque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pau - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.05) |
3.29 ↓
(3.53) |
2.68 ↓
(3.45) |
6.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 23.4% – 70.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 0.
- Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Dunkerque is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Dunkerque have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Injury)
Boutaib K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Yassine G.
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Pau won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Dunkerque?
Pau has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Pau?
Dunkerque has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Dunkerque were as follows:
20.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
3:2
09.03.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
1:0
02.12.2023
Pau
-
Dunkerque
1:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
