Result
3:1
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/486) | 87% (415/476) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/486) | 87% (415/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (28/47) | 64% (35/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/79) | 73% (98/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Robinet T. ⚽,
- 11', Karamoko S. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Robinet T. (A),
- 33', Sasso V. 🟨,
- 39', Touzghar R. 🟨,
- 43', Kante 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Linguet A. ↓, Sangante O. ↑,
- 46', Kante ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 46', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 46', Sadik O. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
- 60', 3 - 1, Versini G. ⚽, Dong K. (A),
- 63', Zossou A. 🟨,
- 65', Essimi M. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 67', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 67', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 67', Sasso V. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
- 80', Zossou A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dunkerque
52% | Draw
26.1% | Pau
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Dunkerque - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.7) |
3.58 ↓
(3.69) |
4.27 ↓
(4.76) |
7.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Pau?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Pau will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 25.5% – 74.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.
- Dunkerque is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Pau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Dunkerque has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Dunkerque is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Daho A.
(Inactive)
Diong P.
(Inactive)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Pau: Briancon A.
(Inactive)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Salles E.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Pau?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Dunkerque?
Pau has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Pau were as follows:
24.10.2025
Pau
-
Dunkerque
0:3
10.01.2025
Pau
-
Dunkerque
1:1
20.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
3:2
09.03.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
1:0
02.12.2023
Pau
-
Dunkerque
1:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
