Dunkerque vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 19
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.502.36
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
33
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
08
Passes
87% (424/486)87% (415/476)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.502.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.661.24
Total shots
714
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
09
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
411
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
08
Touches in opposition box
1430
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free kicks
1110
Passes
87% (424/486)87% (415/476)
Long passes
60% (28/47)64% (35/55)
Passes in final third
68% (54/79)73% (98/135)
Crosses
33% (2/6)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.72
Throw ins
1214
Fouls
1011
Tackles
57% (4/7)80% (12/15)
Duels won
3338
Clearances
3214
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
1.242.66
Goals prevented
0.24-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Robinet T. ,
  • 11', Karamoko S. 🟨,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Sekongo A. , Robinet T. (A),
  • 33', Sasso V. 🟨,
  • 39', Touzghar R. 🟨,
  • 43', Kante 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Linguet A. , Sangante O. ,
  • 46', Kante , Dong K. ,
  • 46', Bobichon A. , Fall C. ,
  • 46', Sadik O. , Messi R. ,
  • 58', 3 - 0, Sekongo A. , Kondo G. (A),
  • 60', 3 - 1, Versini G. , Dong K. (A),
  • 63', Zossou A. 🟨,
  • 65', Essimi M. , Sylvestre E. ,
  • 67', Versini G. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 67', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 67', Sasso V. , Seha Z. ,
  • 80', Zossou A. , Kante A. ,

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
52%
Draw
26.1%
Pau
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25.3% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 24.9% 19.3%

Dunkerque - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.7)
3.58
(3.69)
4.27
(4.76)
7.4%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Pau will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.
    • Dunkerque is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Dunkerque has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Dunkerque is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Daho A. (Inactive) Diong P. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Pau were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    10.01.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    20.09.2024 Dunkerque - Pau 3:2
    09.03.2024 Dunkerque - Pau 1:0
    02.12.2023 Pau - Dunkerque 1:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    05.01.2026 Montpellier - Dunkerque 1:3
    21.12.2025 Strasbourg - Dunkerque 2:1
    12.12.2025 Laval - Dunkerque 1:2
    06.12.2025 Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne 1:0
    21.11.2025 Rodez - Dunkerque 1:1
    Latest results of Pau
    03.01.2026 Pau - Rodez 3:3
    12.12.2025 Pau - Amiens 1:2
    06.12.2025 Montpellier - Pau 0:1
    29.11.2025 SA Mérignac - Pau 1:0
    21.11.2025 Pau - Le Mans 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National