Result
0:3
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 11
- Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (356/404) | 90% (486/538) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (356/404) | 90% (486/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 67% (30/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (86/113) | 69% (61/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Bardeli E. ⚽, Sangante O. (A),
- 23', 0 - 2, Robinet T. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),
- 41', Kante 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Kalulu J. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
- 61', Sissoko O. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 61', Touzghar R. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 64', Kante 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 3, Bardeli E. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),
- 68', Versini G. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 68', Bobichon A. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 73', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 73', Essimi M. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 73', Zossou A. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 80', Georgen A. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
- 80', Bardeli E. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau
42.7% | Draw
27.1% | Dunkerque
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Pau - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.37) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
3.1 ↑
(2.9) |
6.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Dunkerque?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Pau will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0.
- Pau has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Dunkerque's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pau will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S.
(Injury)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Lebouath S.
(Inactive)
Zuliani E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Lavin M.
(Leg Injury)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sylvestre E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pau won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Dunkerque?
Pau has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Pau?
Dunkerque has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Dunkerque were as follows:
10.01.2025
Pau
-
Dunkerque
1:1
20.09.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
3:2
09.03.2024
Dunkerque
-
Pau
1:0
02.12.2023
Pau
-
Dunkerque
1:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 10 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 12 | Amiens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Nancy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
