Saint-Étienne vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 12
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 4
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.48
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
91% (493/543)89% (369/416)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.012.02
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
91% (493/543)89% (369/416)
Long passes
49% (17/35)68% (26/38)
Passes in final third
68% (52/76)79% (84/107)
Crosses
57% (4/7)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.92
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
1612
Tackles
68% (13/19)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
177
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.024.01
Goals prevented
2.02-1.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Ferreira J. , Tardieu F. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 0, Cardona I. , Duffus J. (A),
  • 21', Fall C. 🟨,
  • 30', Boakye A. 🟨,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Tardieu F. (Pen),
  • 44', 4 - 0, Duffus J. ,
  • 45+4', Cardona I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Versini G. , Messi R. ,
  • 46', Boakye A. , Old B. ,
  • 46', Dong K. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 46', Meddah D. , Bobichon A. ,
  • 48', 5 - 0, Duffus J. , Jaber M. (A),
  • 55', Sadik O. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 55', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 67', Cardona I. , Davitashvili Z. ,
  • 68', Moueffek A. , El Jamali N. ,
  • 72', Nade M. , Appiah D. ,
  • 72', Duffus J. , Stassin L. ,
  • 79', 6 - 0, Davitashvili Z. , Bernauer M. (A),
  • 89', Karamoko S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
56.3%
Draw
23.7%
Pau
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 23.3% 18%

Saint-Étienne - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.58)
3.98
(4.2)
4.65
(4.94)
7%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 58%94.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
    • In recent matches, Saint-Étienne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Saint-Étienne is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Ekwah P. (Inactive) Gadegbeku L. (Ankle Injury) Lamba C. (Inactive) Miladinovic I. (Red Card) Traore L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury) Briancon A. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Kante (Red Card) Ruiz J. (Inactive) Sadik O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Pau were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Pau - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    25.11.2023 Saint-Étienne - Pau 1:2
    25.02.2023 Saint-Étienne - Pau 2:0
    05.09.2022 Pau - Saint-Étienne 2:2
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    25.10.2025 Annecy - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    18.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Le Mans 2:3
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    Latest results of Pau
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    17.10.2025 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes22125534:221241
    2Reims22116537:231439
    3Le Mans22109327:19839
    4St Etienne22114737:271037
    5Red Star22107530:22837
    6Dunkerque2297635:231234
    7Pau FC2297633:33034
    8Guingamp2296733:33033
    9Annecy2295828:22632
    10Montpellier2294924:22231
    11Rodez2279628:30-230
    12Grenoble2268824:29-526
    13Nancy22741120:30-1025
    14Boulogne22651123:33-1023
    15Clermont22571024:30-622
    16Amiens22641227:35-822
    17Laval22381115:30-1517
    18Bastia22371211:27-1616

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National