Pau vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2
Result
0:3
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 25
  • Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.382.49
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
54
Passes
85% (420/492)85% (376/442)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.382.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.272.84
Total shots
910
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
31
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
37
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1914
Passes
85% (420/492)85% (376/442)
Long passes
59% (37/63)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
72% (73/101)62% (55/89)
Crosses
17% (4/23)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.59
Throw ins
3118
Fouls
1419
Tackles
68% (15/22)86% (19/22)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
523
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
2.840.27
Goals prevented
-0.160.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽, Cardona I. (A),
  • 36', Boakye A. 🟨,
  • 44', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 44', Touzghar R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', Briancon A. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Stassin L. ⚽,
  • 64', Sissoko O. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
  • 66', Cardona I. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
  • 71', Anziani J. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
  • 72', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
  • 78', Touzghar R. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
  • 78', Versini G. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
  • 79', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
  • 90+5', 0 - 3, Duffus J. ⚽, Boakye A. (A),

Chances of winning


Pau
30.7%		Draw
26%		Saint-Étienne
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 25.1% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 24.4% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
    •

    Pau - Saint-Étienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.05 ↑
    (2.81)    		 3.58 ↓
    (3.72)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.24)    		 6.8%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Pau - Saint-Étienne?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 50%). Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Pau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Glossoa N. (Injury) Sadik O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Inactive) El Jamali N. (Inactive) Ferreira J. (Inactive) Jaber M. (Injury) Lamba C. (Injury) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Traore L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Pau 6:0
    23.01.2024 Pau - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    25.11.2023 Saint-Étienne - Pau 1:2
    25.02.2023 Saint-Étienne - Pau 2:0
    05.09.2022 Pau - Saint-Étienne 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    21.02.2026 Troyes - Pau 4:3 ✺
    13.02.2026 Pau - Boulogne 1:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Red Star - Pau 0:3 ✺
    30.01.2026 Laval - Pau 0:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 Pau - Grenoble 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    21.02.2026 Saint-Étienne - Laval 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Guingamp - Saint-Étienne 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Saint-Étienne - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    31.01.2026 Saint-Étienne - Boulogne 0:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Reims - Saint-Étienne 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes28176549:282157
    2St Etienne28165750:292153
    3Le Mans281311441:291250
    4Red Star28138732:27547
    5Reims281210641:261546
    6Rodez281111635:33244
    7Montpellier281261033:25842
    8Dunkerque28109943:34939
    9Annecy281161135:34139
    10Guingamp28109938:40-239
    11Pau FC28109940:44-439
    12Boulogne28971230:38-834
    13Grenoble286121026:33-730
    14Clermont28771430:37-728
    15Nancy28771424:40-1628
    16Amiens28651733:50-1723
    17Laval284111324:41-1723
    18Bastia283111415:31-1620

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

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