Saint-Étienne vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 12
  • Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 4
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.48
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
91% (493/543)89% (369/416)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.221.48
xG on target (xGOT)
4.012.02
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
91% (493/543)89% (369/416)
Long passes
49% (17/35)68% (26/38)
Passes in final third
68% (52/76)79% (84/107)
Crosses
57% (4/7)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.92
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
1612
Tackles
68% (13/19)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
177
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.024.01
Goals prevented
2.02-1.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Ferreira J. , Tardieu F. (A),
  • 11', 2 - 0, Cardona I. , Duffus J. (A),
  • 21', Fall C. 🟨,
  • 30', Boakye A. 🟨,
  • 41', 3 - 0, Tardieu F. (Pen),
  • 44', 4 - 0, Duffus J. ,
  • 45+4', Cardona I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Versini G. , Messi R. ,
  • 46', Boakye A. , Old B. ,
  • 46', Dong K. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 46', Meddah D. , Bobichon A. ,
  • 48', 5 - 0, Duffus J. , Jaber M. (A),
  • 55', Sadik O. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 55', Pouilly T. , Glossoa N. ,
  • 67', Cardona I. , Davitashvili Z. ,
  • 68', Moueffek A. , El Jamali N. ,
  • 72', Nade M. , Appiah D. ,
  • 72', Duffus J. , Stassin L. ,
  • 79', 6 - 0, Davitashvili Z. , Bernauer M. (A),
  • 89', Karamoko S. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Saint-Étienne
56.3%
Draw
23.7%
Pau
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 22.2% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 23.3% 18%

Saint-Étienne - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.58)
3.98
(4.2)
4.65
(4.94)
7%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 58%94.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
    • In recent matches, Saint-Étienne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pau is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Saint-Étienne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Saint-Étienne is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Ekwah P. (Inactive) Gadegbeku L. (Ankle Injury) Lamba C. (Inactive) Miladinovic I. (Red Card) Traore L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury) Briancon A. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Kante (Red Card) Ruiz J. (Inactive) Sadik O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Pau were as follows:
    23.01.2024 Pau - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    25.11.2023 Saint-Étienne - Pau 1:2
    25.02.2023 Saint-Étienne - Pau 2:0
    05.09.2022 Pau - Saint-Étienne 2:2
    Latest results of Saint-Étienne
    25.10.2025 Annecy - Saint-Étienne 4:0
    18.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Le Mans 2:3
    27.09.2025 Saint-Étienne - Guingamp 2:3
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    Latest results of Pau
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    17.10.2025 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    23.09.2025 Pau - Laval 1:0
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1695228:151332
    2St Etienne1692533:231029
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Le Mans1676320:16427
    5Pau FC1675422:23-126
    6Reims1574428:20825
    7Dunkerque1666427:18924
    8Montpellier1673617:15224
    9Guingamp1665524:28-423
    10Annecy1664620:16422
    11Grenoble1655618:20-220
    12Clermont1647516:20-419
    13Rodez1646616:22-618
    14Boulogne1644817:24-716
    15Laval1536612:16-415
    16Amiens1643919:25-615
    17Nancy1643914:22-815
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National