Pau vs Troyes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 13
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.82
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
89% (511/574)84% (299/357)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.340.82
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.95
Total shots
199
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
2623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
514
Passes
89% (511/574)84% (299/357)
Long passes
79% (34/43)53% (33/62)
Passes in final third
77% (129/167)69% (57/83)
Crosses
41% (11/27)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.171.23
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
145
Tackles
83% (10/12)76% (13/17)
Duels won
3950
Clearances
1424
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.951.09
Goals prevented
-0.050.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Bentayeb T. 🟥,
  • 21', Raveyre N. , Salles E. ,
  • 24', Adeline M. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 24', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Messi R. ,
  • 43', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Diop M. , Ifnaoui M. (A),
  • 64', Dong K. 🟨,
  • 68', Dong K. , Versini G. ,
  • 69', Sadik O. , Sissoko O. ,
  • 75', Bobichon A. , Touzghar R. ,
  • 81', Beusnard S. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 81', Glossoa N. , Pouilly T. ,
  • 83', Detourbet M. , Odede E. ,

Chances of winning


Pau
30.1%
Draw
28.3%
Troyes
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 26.8% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 25.7% 42.5%

Pau - Troyes Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.09
(2.84)
3.29
(3.44)
2.23
(2.26)
7.6%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Troyes?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 31.2%83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0.
    • In recent matches, Pau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Troyes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Injury) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Karamoko S. (Red Card) Ruiz J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Troyes: Lemaitre N. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Troyes were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    29.10.2024 Troyes - Pau 3:0
    23.04.2024 Troyes - Pau 2:2
    19.12.2023 Pau - Troyes 1:1
    Latest results of Pau
    28.10.2025 Saint-Étienne - Pau 6:0
    24.10.2025 Pau - Dunkerque 0:3
    17.10.2025 Grenoble - Pau 1:1
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Rodez - Pau 1:2
    Latest results of Troyes
    28.10.2025 Troyes - Amiens 3:1
    24.10.2025 Reims - Troyes 0:0
    17.10.2025 Troyes - Bastia 1:0
    03.10.2025 Le Mans - Troyes 2:2
    26.09.2025 Troyes - Annecy 3:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes19125233:171641
    2Red Star19105427:161135
    3St Etienne19104536:251134
    4Dunkerque1996435:211433
    5Reims1995535:231232
    6Le Mans1988323:18532
    7Guingamp1985631:30129
    8Pau FC1976627:31-427
    9Annecy1974824:20425
    10Montpellier1974819:20-125
    11Rodez1958622:27-523
    12Clermont1957720:23-322
    13Grenoble1956819:25-621
    14Nancy19631017:26-921
    15Boulogne19541019:29-1019
    16Amiens19531122:30-818
    17Laval19361014:28-1415
    18Bastia19351111:25-1414

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National