Result
0:2
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (355/425) | 87% (469/539) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 64% (86/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 26% (6/23) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (10/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
- 24', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 37', Kante 🟨,
- 37', Koudou T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Ba P. I. ↓, de Preville N. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, de Preville N. ⚽,
- 69', 0 - 2, Diop M. ⚽, Said R. (A),
- 70', Ngom O. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 77', Meddah D. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 77', Diop M. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,
- 77', Irie C. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 85', Said R. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 85', Monfray A. ↓, Gozzi P. ↑,
- 86', Bangre M. ↓, Gomes T. ↑,
- 86', Lopy J. ↓, Darribere C. ↑,
- 86', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau
33.2% | Draw
30.3% | Troyes
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Pau - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.41) |
3.11 ↓
(3.11) |
2.61 ↓
(2.91) |
5.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pau - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 12% – 65%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Pau: Bangre M.
(Injury)
Bobichon A.
(Injury)
Mille A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M.
(Injury)
Balde T.
(Inactive)
El Idrissy M.
(Injury)
Hamdi M.
(Injury)
Ripart R.
(Knee Injury)
Tahrat M.
(Leg Injury)
de Preville N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Akpakoun T.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Troyes?
Pau has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Pau?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Troyes were as follows:
29.10.2024
Troyes
-
Pau
3:0
23.04.2024
Troyes
-
Pau
2:2
19.12.2023
Pau
-
Troyes
1:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 |
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
