Result
1:1
03/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 13
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (511/574) | 84% (299/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (511/574) | 84% (299/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 79% (34/43) | 53% (33/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (129/167) | 69% (57/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (11/27) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Bentayeb T. 🟥,
- 21', Raveyre N. ↓, Salles E. ↑,
- 24', Adeline M. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 24', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Messi R. ⚽,
- 43', Meddah D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Diop M. ⚽, Ifnaoui M. (A),
- 64', Dong K. 🟨,
- 68', Dong K. ↓, Versini G. ↑,
- 69', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
- 75', Bobichon A. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
- 81', Beusnard S. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
- 81', Glossoa N. ↓, Pouilly T. ↑,
- 83', Detourbet M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pau
30.1% | Draw
28.3% | Troyes
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Pau - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.84) |
3.29 ↓
(3.44) |
2.23 ↓
(2.26) |
7.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Troyes will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0.
- In recent matches, Pau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Troyes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S.
(Injury)
Gasnier K.
(Inactive)
Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Red Card)
Ruiz J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Lemaitre N.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Troyes?
Pau has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Pau?
Troyes has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Troyes were as follows:
07.03.2025
Pau
-
Troyes
0:2
29.10.2024
Troyes
-
Pau
3:0
23.04.2024
Troyes
-
Pau
2:2
19.12.2023
Pau
-
Troyes
1:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 41 |
| 2 | Reims | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37:27 | 10 | 37 |
| 5 | Red Star | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 30:22 | 8 | 37 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 34 |
| 7 | Pau FC | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:33 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33:33 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Annecy | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
| 10 | Montpellier | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Rodez | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 28:30 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Nancy | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 25 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 23:33 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Clermont | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 22 |
| 16 | Amiens | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Laval | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Bastia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 11:27 | -16 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
