Pau vs Troyes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Pau - Troyes
Result
0:2
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.46
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
914
Shots on Goal
48
Shots off Goal
23
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
16
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Free Kicks
1814
Offsides
11
Fouls
1418
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1414
Touches in the Opposition Box
1428
Passes
84% (355/425)87% (469/539)
Passes in the final third
62% (56/90)64% (86/135)
Crosses
30% (3/10)26% (6/23)
Tackles
70% (7/10)67% (10/15)
Clearances Total
2118
Interceptions
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Diaz Jr. M. 🟨,
  • 24', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 37', Kante 🟨,
  • 37', Koudou T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Ba P. I. , de Preville N. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, de Preville N. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Diop M. , Said R. (A),
  • 70', Ngom O. , Diawara K. ,
  • 77', Meddah D. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 77', Diop M. , Chavalerin X. ,
  • 77', Irie C. , Assoumou J. ,
  • 85', Said R. , Detourbet M. ,
  • 85', Monfray A. , Gozzi P. ,
  • 86', Bangre M. , Gomes T. ,
  • 86', Lopy J. , Darribere C. ,
  • 86', Kalulu J. , Obiang J. ,

Chances of winning


Pau
33.2%
Draw
30.3%
Troyes
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 29.8% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 29.8% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pau's form might have worsened.
  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Pau - Troyes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.41)
    3.11
    (3.11)
    2.61
    (2.91)
    5.9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pau - Troyes?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 12%65%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Pau: Bangre M. (Injury) Bobichon A. (Injury) Mille A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Troyes: Adeline M. (Injury) Balde T. (Inactive) El Idrissy M. (Injury) Hamdi M. (Injury) Ripart R. (Knee Injury) Tahrat M. (Leg Injury) de Preville N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Troyes: Akpakoun T. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.6:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Troyes were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Troyes - Pau 3:0
    23.04.2024 Troyes - Pau 2:2
    19.12.2023 Pau - Troyes 1:1
    Latest results of Pau
    28.02.2025 Pau - Grenoble 1:0
    22.02.2025 Caen - Pau 2:2
    14.02.2025 Pau - Rodez 0:5
    07.02.2025 Paris FC - Pau 3:1
    31.01.2025 Pau - Laval 1:1
    Latest results of Troyes
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Paris FC - Troyes 1:0
    14.02.2025 Troyes - Lorient 0:1
    07.02.2025 Martigues - Troyes 1:2
    04.02.2025 Troyes - Brest 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Etienne532011:5611
    2Red Star531110:4610
    3Troyes53116:3310
    4Pau FC52217:618
    5Nancy52216:608
    6Reims52215:508
    7Rodez52213:5-28
    8Laval51407:617
    9Amiens51316:516
    10Clermont51315:506
    11Montpellier41214:405
    12Grenoble51225:6-15
    13Dunkerque51227:8-15
    14Annecy51224:6-25
    15Le Mans51135:7-24
    16Guingamp41126:9-34
    17Bastia40222:5-32
    18Boulogne40041:5-40

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National