Result
1:0
13/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 12
- Referee: Vargas A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/321) | 84% (325/387) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.49 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/321) | 84% (325/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 29% (12/42) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (78/116) | 62% (49/79) |
| Crosses |
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| 32% (12/37) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.53 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 51 | 46 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.33 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.33 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Thalisson 🟨,
- 43', Rafael Milhorim 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Denner ↑,
- 46', Patric Calmon ↓, Reverson ↑,
- 52', Rossi 🟨,
- 56', Abdulai S. 🟨,
- 62', Benitez J. ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
- 63', Abdulai S. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
- 67', Matheus Vargas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 69', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
- 73', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
- 74', Marlon Douglas ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
- 82', Robinho ↓, Pablo Thomaz ↑,
- 84', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
- 87', Ericson 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Leandro Vilela ⚽, Denner (A),
Chances of winning
Paysandu
47.1% | Draw
29.5% | Botafogo SP
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Paysandu - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.77) |
3.16 ↓
(3.29) |
4 ↓
(4.81) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Paysandu - Botafogo SP?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Paysandu has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Botafogo SP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Paysandu is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Botafogo SP?
Paysandu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Paysandu?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Botafogo SP were as follows:
18.08.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Paysandu
1:1
27.04.2024
Paysandu
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
Latest results of Paysandu
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 24:16 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14:26 | -12 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
