Paysandu vs Botafogo SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/06/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem).

Serie B Superbet - Round 12
Referee: Vargas A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	0.43
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Passes
80% (256/321)	84% (325/387)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	0.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.45	0.33
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
17	17
Passes
80% (256/321)	84% (325/387)
Long passes
59% (33/56)	29% (12/42)
Passes in final third
67% (78/116)	62% (49/79)
Crosses
32% (12/37)	11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.38
Throw-ins
17	23
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
69% (9/13)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
51	46
Clearances
31	37
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
0.33	0.45
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Thalisson 🟨,
43', Rafael Milhorim 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Denner ↑,
46', Patric Calmon ↓, Reverson ↑,
52', Rossi 🟨,
56', Abdulai S. 🟨,
62', Benitez J. ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
63', Abdulai S. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
67', Matheus Vargas ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
69', Jonathan Cafu 🟨,
73', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
74', Marlon Douglas ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
82', Robinho ↓, Pablo Thomaz ↑,
84', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
87', Ericson 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 0, Leandro Vilela ⚽, Denner (A),

Chances of winning

Paysandu
47.1%

Draw
29.5%

Botafogo SP
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

28.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

27.6%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paysandu's form might have worsened.

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paysandu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Paysandu - Botafogo SP Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.77)	3.16 ↓ (3.29)	4 ↓ (4.81)	7.2% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Paysandu - Botafogo SP?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paysandu: 9.6% – 70.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Paysandu has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Botafogo SP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Paysandu is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Botafogo SP?

Paysandu has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Paysandu?

Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paysandu - Botafogo SP were as follows:

18.08.2024 Botafogo SP - Paysandu 1:1

27.04.2024 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:1

Latest results of Paysandu

06.06.2025 Cuiabá - Paysandu 1:0 ✺

02.06.2025 Paysandu - Criciúma 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu 3:1 ✺

21.05.2025 Bahia - Paysandu 4:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Paysandu - Goiás 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Botafogo SP

05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0 ✺

29.05.2025 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:1 ✺

26.05.2025 Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP 3:0 ✺

12.05.2025 Botafogo SP - Athletic Club 0:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Goias	27	14	6	7	33:25	8	48
2	Coritiba	27	13	8	6	28:17	11	47
3	Criciuma	27	13	7	7	34:21	13	46
4	Novorizontino	27	11	10	6	30:25	5	43
5	Athletico-PR	27	12	6	9	39:36	3	42
6	Chapecoense-SC	27	12	5	10	38:28	10	41
7	Cuiaba	27	11	8	8	32:30	2	41
8	Remo	27	9	12	6	28:24	4	39
9	Atletico GO	27	9	11	7	30:28	2	38
10	CRB	27	11	4	12	28:24	4	37
11	Avai	27	9	10	8	35:30	5	37
12	Vila Nova FC	27	10	6	11	26:28	-2	36
13	Operario-PR	27	9	9	9	29:26	3	36
14	Athletic Club	27	9	5	13	29:35	-6	32
15	Ferroviaria	27	7	11	9	30:34	-4	32
16	America MG	27	8	6	13	27:33	-6	30
17	Botafogo SP	27	7	8	12	22:39	-17	29
18	Amazonas	27	6	9	12	27:39	-12	27
19	Volta Redonda	27	6	9	12	16:28	-12	27
20	Paysandu PA	27	4	10	13	21:32	-11	22

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )