Botafogo SP vs Paysandu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/10/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto).

Serie B Superbet - Round 31
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	0.23
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
79% (352/445)	81% (334/411)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46	0.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	0.09
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
9	1
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
9	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	17
Passes
79% (352/445)	81% (334/411)
Long passes
31% (20/65)	40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
66% (86/130)	63% (48/76)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.36	0.45
Throw-ins
31	29
Fouls
17	8
Tackles
72% (13/18)	46% (6/13)
Duels won
51	49
Clearances
24	38
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.09	0.74
Goals prevented
0.09	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Mauricio Garcez ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
45+7', Edilson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Maciel L. 🟨,
60', Denner ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
61', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Rossi ↑,
66', Maciel L. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
72', Dramisino A. ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
72', Gabriel Barros ↓, Robinho ↑,
81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
81', Andre Lima ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
84', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
84', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Carrillo R. ⚽, Jefferson Nem (A),
90+6', Jefferson Nem 🟨,

Chances of winning

Botafogo SP
36%

Draw
32.8%

Paysandu
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Botafogo SP - Paysandu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.22)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	6.2% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Paysandu?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
Botafogo SP has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Paysandu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Botafogo SP might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao (Inactive) Carrillo R. (Inactive) Edson (Red Card) Tortello (Inactive)
There will not play in Paysandu: Leandro Vilela (Injury) Matheus Vargas (Injury) Reverson (Yellow Cards) Thiago Heleno (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)
There are questionable in Paysandu: Anderson Leite (Inactive) Andre Lima (Injury) Diogo Oliveira (Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home match between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Paysandu?

Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paysandu won against Botafogo SP?

Paysandu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Paysandu were as follows:

13.06.2025 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:0

18.08.2024 Botafogo SP - Paysandu 1:1

27.04.2024 Paysandu - Botafogo SP 1:1

Latest results of Botafogo SP

03.10.2025 Coritiba - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Ferroviária 1:2 ✺

24.09.2025 CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP 3:2 ✺

18.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Athletic Club - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Paysandu

02.10.2025 Paysandu - Cuiabá 1:1 ✺

28.09.2025 Criciúma - Paysandu 2:4 ✺

23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Goiás - Paysandu 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Paysandu - América Mineiro 0:0 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	32	16	8	8	34:21	13	56
2	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
3	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	42:29	13	53
4	Goias	32	14	10	8	36:29	7	52
5	Chapecoense-SC	32	15	6	11	44:31	13	51
6	Remo	32	13	12	7	39:31	8	51
7	Athletico-PR	32	14	7	11	45:42	3	49
8	Cuiaba	32	13	10	9	38:35	3	49
9	CRB	32	14	5	13	38:33	5	47
10	Atletico GO	32	11	12	9	35:33	2	45
11	Avai	32	11	11	10	40:34	6	44
12	Vila Nova FC	32	11	10	11	32:33	-1	43
13	Operario-PR	32	10	9	13	32:36	-4	39
14	America MG	32	10	7	15	34:39	-5	37
15	Athletic Club	32	10	7	15	37:44	-7	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	32	8	10	14	22:34	-12	34
18	Botafogo SP	32	8	9	15	27:47	-20	33
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )