Result
2:0
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6
- Referee: Araujo D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 4', Pereira G. 🟨,
- 36', Silva A. 🟨,
- 39', Santos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sanchez J. ↓, Xico ↑,
- 58', Negrao G. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 62', Santos Teixeira L. ↓, Feliz ↑,
- 62', Lucas Duarte ↓, Viondi M. ↑,
- 65', Eiro 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 0, Santos A. ⚽,
- 70', Pereira G. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
- 70', Eiro ↓, Jean Felipe ↑,
- 71', Alves R. ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
- 72', Pedro Sa ↓, Kebe I. ↑,
- 78', Reko 🟨,
- 82', Alcaina R. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Davo ⚽,
- 90+1', Martins H. ↓, Dario ↑,
- 90+4', Kebe I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
25.5% | Draw
28.2% | Felgueiras
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Penafiel - Felgueiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.74 ↑
(2.68) |
3.29 ↑
(3.25) |
2.06 ↓
(2.42) |
5.8%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Felgueiras?
Users Predictions:
Felgueiras will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).
- Penafiel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Felgueiras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Felgueiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Felgueiras?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Penafiel?
Felgueiras has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Felgueiras were as follows:
05.04.2025
Felgueiras
-
Penafiel
1:0
09.11.2024
Penafiel
-
Felgueiras
2:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vizela | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Maritimo | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Chaves | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Leiria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Portimonense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Feirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Torreense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | SC Farense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Felgueiras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Oliveirense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Benfica B | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
