Result
0:0
22/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Lucas Duarte 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Duarte ↓, Leite T. ↑,
- 57', Alves R. 🟨,
- 59', Schutte R. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
- 59', Negrao G. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 65', lano Imbene 🟨,
- 67', Michel Costa ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
- 67', Dario 🟨,
- 72', Pedro Sa ↓, Reko ↑,
- 72', lano Imbene ↓, Miguel J. ↑,
- 74', Santos Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 78', Martins H. ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
- 79', Eiro ↓, Beni ↑,
- 85', Alves R. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 85', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pereira B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Felgueiras
51.7% | Draw
27.5% | Penafiel
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Felgueiras - Penafiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.85) |
3.38 ↓
(3.4) |
4.43 ↑
(4.26) |
8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Felgueiras - Penafiel?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)
- Recent form of Felgueiras has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Penafiel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Felgueiras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Felgueiras is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Penafiel?
Felgueiras has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Felgueiras?
Penafiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felgueiras - Penafiel were as follows:
27.09.2025
Penafiel
-
Felgueiras
2:0
05.04.2025
Felgueiras
-
Penafiel
1:0
09.11.2024
Penafiel
-
Felgueiras
2:1
Latest results of Felgueiras
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
