Felgueiras vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Felgueiras - Penafiel
Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 28
  • Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
143
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
101
Corner Kicks
42
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1623
Fouls
2113
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Banguera E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Santos J. , Feliz ,
  • 58', Tavares A. 🟨,
  • 58', Vieira P. , Olamilekan Fatai S. ,
  • 64', Silva J. , Brandao ,
  • 65', Ze Leite , Batista D. ,
  • 74', Tavares A. , Ribeiro P. ,
  • 74', Santos Teixeira L. , Pereira G. ,
  • 81', Eiro , Ayiah E. ,
  • 87', Silva A. , Silva J. ,
  • 90+1', Silva J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Robinho 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Ayiah E. ,

Chances of winning


Felgueiras
49.8%
Draw
27.1%
Penafiel
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.4% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penafiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penafiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Felgueiras - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.14)
    3.4
    (3.35)
    4.02
    (3.25)
    7.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Felgueiras - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Felgueiras is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Felgueiras won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Felgueiras - Penafiel were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Penafiel - Felgueiras 2:1
    Latest results of Felgueiras
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    15.03.2025 Marítimo - Felgueiras 0:0
    08.03.2025 Felgueiras - Leiria 2:2
    22.02.2025 Felgueiras - Porto B 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    08.03.2025 Penafiel - Alverca 3:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    21.02.2025 Penafiel - Portimonense 3:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela22006:156
    2Sporting CP B22002:026
    3Leixoes21104:134
    4Feirense21104:134
    5Lusitania FC21103:214
    6Torreense21013:123
    7Leiria21013:303
    8Maritimo21011:103
    9Chaves30304:403
    10Portimonense21013:5-23
    11Benfica B20202:202
    12Oliveirense20201:102
    13Academico Viseu20112:3-11
    14Pacos Ferreira20111:2-11
    15Penafiel20111:2-11
    16SC Farense20111:4-31
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B20110:4-41

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