Penafiel vs Torreense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV3

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
96
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
02
Total shots
147
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
96
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1720
Throw-ins
2617
Fouls
1617

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
  • 34', Drammeh M. 🟨,
  • 34', Vazquez J. 🟨,
  • 34', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Seydi I. , Simoes A. ,
  • 61', Reko , Ze Leite ,
  • 76', Costinha , Pite ,
  • 77', Simoes A. 🟨,
  • 78', Simoes A. 🟨,
  • 79', Femenias J. 🟨,
  • 79', lano Imbene , Pereira B. ,
  • 79', Santos A. , Alcaina R. ,
  • 80', Sery J. 🟨,
  • 85', Ze Leite 🟨,
  • 86', Sery J. , Suker H. ,
  • 88', Drammeh M. , Arielson ,
  • 88', Jean D. , David Bruno ,
  • 90+6', 1 - 0, Pereira B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Penafiel
33.1%
Draw
29.4%
Torreense
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 30.7% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 29.9% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Penafiel - Torreense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.77)
    3.17
    (3.04)
    2.47
    (2.62)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Penafiel - Torreense?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torreense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
    • Recent form of Penafiel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Torreense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Torreense were as follows:
    05.05.2025 Penafiel - Torreense 0:1
    22.12.2024 Torreense - Penafiel 0:1
    16.05.2024 Penafiel - Torreense 1:1
    15.01.2024 Torreense - Penafiel 1:0
    21.05.2023 Torreense - Penafiel 5:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    12.12.2025 Porto B - Penafiel 1:0
    05.12.2025 Penafiel - Leiria 1:0
    23.11.2025 Marítimo - Penafiel 2:1
    Latest results of Torreense
    17.12.2025 Casa Pia - Torreense 1:2
    12.12.2025 Torreense - Feirense 2:3
    06.12.2025 Marítimo - Torreense 2:0
    30.11.2025 Torreense - Chaves 0:2
    23.11.2025 Lusitânia - Torreense 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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