Result
1:0
21/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
- 34', Drammeh M. 🟨,
- 34', Vazquez J. 🟨,
- 34', Guilherme Liberato 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Seydi I. ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
- 61', Reko ↓, Ze Leite ↑,
- 76', Costinha ↓, Pite ↑,
- 77', Simoes A. 🟨,
- 78', Simoes A. 🟨,
- 79', Femenias J. 🟨,
- 79', lano Imbene ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 79', Santos A. ↓, Alcaina R. ↑,
- 80', Sery J. 🟨,
- 85', Ze Leite 🟨,
- 86', Sery J. ↓, Suker H. ↑,
- 88', Drammeh M. ↓, Arielson ↑,
- 88', Jean D. ↓, David Bruno ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Pereira B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Penafiel
33.1% | Draw
29.4% | Torreense
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1%)
Penafiel - Torreense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.77) |
3.17 ↑
(3.04) |
2.47 ↓
(2.62) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - Torreense?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torreense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1.
- Recent form of Penafiel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Torreense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Penafiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penafiel won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Torreense?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Torreense won against Penafiel?
Torreense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Torreense were as follows:
05.05.2025
Penafiel
-
Torreense
0:1
22.12.2024
Torreense
-
Penafiel
0:1
16.05.2024
Penafiel
-
Torreense
1:1
15.01.2024
Torreense
-
Penafiel
1:0
21.05.2023
Torreense
-
Penafiel
5:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
