Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Larrosa E. ⚽,
- 42', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 49', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
- 49', Frugone A. 🟨,
- 52', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 0, Neira I. ⚽,
- 61', Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 61', Sosa I. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 68', Ocampo M. ↓, Valenzuela I. ↑,
- 73', Paiva S. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
- 77', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 82', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 84', Baez J. 🟨,
- 90', Larrosa E. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
- 90+5', Lucas Hernandez 🟨,
- 90+5', Morales B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro
10.9% | Draw
21.3% | Peñarol de Montevideo
67.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.72 ↓
(9.26) |
4.41 ↑
(4.17) |
1.36
(1.36) |
7.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.
- Cerro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:43. (average 0.7:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:23. (average 0.4:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Cerro has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Cerro?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
27.04.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
Abandoned
22.09.2024
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:5
09.03.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
3:0
19.08.2023
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
04.02.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
2:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 25 |
| 3 | Liverpool M | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:15 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | CA Cerro | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 22 |
| 7 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Progreso | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:20 | -9 | 14 |
| 12 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | River Plate | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:17 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 8 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
