Peñarol de Montevideo vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro
28/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
133
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Miranda A. , Mulet A. ,
  • 33', Crespo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Cabrera J. ,
  • 60', Falconis O. , Almeida E. ,
  • 63', Cabrera J. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 63', Umpierrez L. , David Terans ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 73', Silvera M. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 73', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 75', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 76', Alvarez E. 🟨,
  • 78', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 83', Caceres S. , Acosta F. ,
  • 83', Fernandez L. , Machado A. ,
  • 83', Alonso M. , Techera F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
75.5%
Draw
17%
Cerro
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 19.3% 8.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.29)
    5.42
    (4.82)
    12.34
    (10.95)
    7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 2.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Abandoned
    22.09.2024 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:5
    09.03.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 3:0
    19.08.2023 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    04.02.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 2:0
    Latest results of Cerro
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boston River11004:043
    2Nacional11005:233
    3Cerro Largo11002:023
    4Penarol11002:113
    5CA Cerro10100:001
    6River Plate10100:001
    7Liverpool M00000:000
    8Danubio00000:000
    9Wanderers00000:000
    10Miramar00000:000
    11Racing Montevideo00000:000
    12Plaza Colonia00000:000
    13Progreso10011:2-10
    14Juventud10010:2-20
    15Montevideo City10012:5-30
    16Defensor Sp10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )