Cerro vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
27
Total shots
713
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
211
Corner Kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Larrosa E. ,
  • 42', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Sosa I. 🟨,
  • 49', Jesus Trindade 🟨,
  • 49', Frugone A. 🟨,
  • 52', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Neira I. ,
  • 61', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Baez J. ,
  • 61', Sosa I. , Cruz A. ,
  • 68', Ocampo M. , Valenzuela I. ,
  • 73', Paiva S. , Cuello E. ,
  • 77', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 82', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 84', Baez J. 🟨,
  • 90', Larrosa E. , Morales B. ,
  • 90+5', Lucas Hernandez 🟨,
  • 90+5', Morales B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cerro
10.9%
Draw
21.3%
Peñarol de Montevideo
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10% 22.1% 67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7% 21.3% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.72
    (9.26)
    4.41
    (4.17)
    1.36
    (1.36)
    7.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.
    • Cerro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peñarol is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:43. (average 0.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:23. (average 0.4:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Abandoned
    22.09.2024 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:5
    09.03.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 3:0
    19.08.2023 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    04.02.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 2:0
    Latest results of Cerro
    11.10.2025 Cerro - Defensor Sporting 1:0
    05.10.2025 Progreso - Cerro 2:0
    21.09.2025 Cerro - Miramar Misiones 1:0
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Nacional1384124:101425
    3Liverpool M1374219:13625
    4Montevideo City1373323:15824
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1352616:17-117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers131395:19-146

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )