Peñarol de Montevideo vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro
28/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
133
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Miranda A. , Mulet A. ,
  • 33', Crespo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Cabrera J. ,
  • 60', Falconis O. , Almeida E. ,
  • 63', Cabrera J. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 63', Umpierrez L. , David Terans ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 73', Silvera M. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 73', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 75', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 76', Alvarez E. 🟨,
  • 78', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 83', Caceres S. , Acosta F. ,
  • 83', Fernandez L. , Machado A. ,
  • 83', Alonso M. , Techera F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
75.5%
Draw
17%
Cerro
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 19.3% 8.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.29)
    5.42
    (4.82)
    12.34
    (10.95)
    7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 2.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Abandoned
    22.09.2024 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:5
    09.03.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 3:0
    19.08.2023 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    04.02.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 2:0
    Latest results of Cerro
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Boston River32107:257
    3Liverpool M32103:127
    4Penarol32016:336
    5Racing Montevideo32013:216
    6Juventud42024:5-16
    7Defensor Sp32012:4-26
    8CA Cerro31113:214
    9Danubio31112:204
    10Montevideo City31115:6-14
    11Nacional32018:623
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia30121:5-41
    16Progreso30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )