Peñarol de Montevideo vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro
28/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
133
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Miranda A. , Mulet A. ,
  • 33', Crespo E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ,
  • 56', 2 - 0, Cabrera J. ,
  • 60', Falconis O. , Almeida E. ,
  • 63', Cabrera J. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 63', Umpierrez L. , David Terans ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 73', Silvera M. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 73', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 75', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 76', Alvarez E. 🟨,
  • 78', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 83', Caceres S. , Acosta F. ,
  • 83', Fernandez L. , Machado A. ,
  • 83', Alonso M. , Techera F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
75.5%
Draw
17%
Cerro
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 19.3% 8.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.29)
    5.42
    (4.82)
    12.34
    (10.95)
    7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 62.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cerro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 2.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Abandoned
    22.09.2024 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:5
    09.03.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 3:0
    19.08.2023 Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:1
    04.02.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro 2:0
    Latest results of Cerro
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol971119:71222
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Liverpool M1053213:10318
    6Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    7Defensor Sp95136:8-216
    8Danubio941414:9513
    9CA Cerro94148:10-213
    10Miramar1032513:14-111
    11Progreso932410:11-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo93247:15-811
    14Wanderers91172:12-104
    15River Plate100373:15-123
    16Plaza Colonia90276:20-142

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )