Result
11/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Miramar Misiones
12.1% | Draw
21.4% | Peñarol de Montevideo
66.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.46 ↓
(8.35) |
4.28 ↓
(4.43) |
1.4 ↑
(1.36) |
8.1%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Miramar Misiones has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.6:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Miramar Misiones won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Miramar Misiones has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Miramar Misiones?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
12.04.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Miramar Misiones
4:2
07.09.2024
Miramar Misiones
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
24.02.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Miramar Misiones
2:0
Latest results of Miramar Misiones
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Danubio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Progreso | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
