Miramar Misiones vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
2:2
11/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
920
Shots on target
69
Corner Kicks
214
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Total shots
920
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
311
Corner Kicks
214

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Olivera D. , Lopez P. (A),
  • 44', 2 - 0, Da Silva S. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Sosa I. , Arezo M. ,
  • 46', Baez J. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 46', Mendez J. , Villalba H. ,
  • 55', Fernandez L. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ,
  • 58', Olivera D. , Gelos N. ,
  • 61', Villalba H. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 67', Da Silva S. , Ramirez G. ,
  • 68', Pandiani A. , Nunez D. ,
  • 70', Moreno J. 🟨,
  • 75', Silvera F. , Roldan M. ,
  • 77', Muhlethaler S. 🟨,
  • 79', Nunez D. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 2, Arezo M. ,
  • 81', Milans P. , Jesus Trindade ,
  • 83', Diaz O. 🟨,
  • 89', Nunez D. 🟨,
  • 89', Ramirez G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Lopez P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Miramar Misiones
14.2%
Draw
22.3%
Peñarol de Montevideo
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.1% 20.9% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.8% 20.3% 70%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.65
    (8.35)
    4.2
    (4.43)
    1.51
    (1.36)
    4.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent form of Miramar Misiones has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Miramar Misiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones 4:2
    07.09.2024 Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:2
    24.02.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones 2:0
    Latest results of Miramar Misiones
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1392226:111529
    2Nacional1283124:101424
    3Montevideo City1373323:15824
    4Liverpool M1264216:12422
    5CA Cerro1371513:13022
    6Defensor Sp1371511:13-222
    7Boston River1256120:81221
    8Cerro Largo1354415:14119
    9Progreso1252515:14117
    10Danubio1343614:12215
    11Racing Montevideo1335511:20-914
    12Miramar1233616:19-312
    13Juventud133376:12-612
    14River Plate132477:17-1010
    15Plaza Colonia132299:22-138
    16Wanderers121295:19-145

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )