Result
2:2
11/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Heras H. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Olivera D. ⚽, Lopez P. (A),
- 44', 2 - 0, Da Silva S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sosa I. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
- 46', Baez J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 46', Mendez J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
- 55', Fernandez L. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 58', Olivera D. ↓, Gelos N. ↑,
- 61', Villalba H. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 67', Da Silva S. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
- 68', Pandiani A. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 70', Moreno J. 🟨,
- 75', Silvera F. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
- 77', Muhlethaler S. 🟨,
- 79', Nunez D. 🟨,
- 80', 2 - 2, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 81', Milans P. ↓, Jesus Trindade ↑,
- 83', Diaz O. 🟨,
- 89', Nunez D. 🟨,
- 89', Ramirez G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Lopez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Miramar Misiones
14.2% | Draw
22.3% | Peñarol de Montevideo
63.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.65 ↓
(8.35) |
4.2 ↓
(4.43) |
1.51 ↑
(1.36) |
4.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
- Recent form of Miramar Misiones has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Miramar Misiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.6:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Miramar Misiones won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Miramar Misiones has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Miramar Misiones?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miramar Misiones - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
12.04.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Miramar Misiones
4:2
07.09.2024
Miramar Misiones
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
24.02.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Miramar Misiones
2:0
Latest results of Miramar Misiones
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
