Peñarol de Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso
Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cougo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gularte E. , Arezo M. ,
  • 46', Suarez D. , Mendez J. ,
  • 46', Paolini M. , Carroso H. ,
  • 49', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 57', Cougo A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 58', Fernandez N. , Garcia A. ,
  • 66', Cabrera J. 🟨,
  • 67', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 69', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 69', David Terans , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 76', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 76', Sosa I. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 82', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lemmo I. , Silva G. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Lucas Hernandez ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
71.6%
Draw
18.1%
Progreso
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.1% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.29)
    5.11
    (5.41)
    9.36
    (8.62)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Peñarol (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:12. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:3
    26.11.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:5
    22.06.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    23.05.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )