Peñarol de Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cougo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gularte E. , Arezo M. ,
  • 46', Suarez D. , Mendez J. ,
  • 46', Paolini M. , Carroso H. ,
  • 49', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 57', Cougo A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 58', Fernandez N. , Garcia A. ,
  • 66', Cabrera J. 🟨,
  • 67', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 69', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 69', David Terans , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 76', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 76', Sosa I. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 82', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lemmo I. , Silva G. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Lucas Hernandez ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
71.6%
Draw
18.1%
Progreso
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.1% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.29)
    5.11
    (5.41)
    9.36
    (8.62)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Peñarol (1.90) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Peñarol (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:12. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:3
    26.11.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:5
    22.06.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    23.05.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )