Peñarol de Montevideo vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso
Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
177
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
94
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cougo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gularte E. , Arezo M. ,
  • 46', Suarez D. , Mendez J. ,
  • 46', Paolini M. , Carroso H. ,
  • 49', Kidd F. 🟨,
  • 57', Cougo A. , Rivero J. ,
  • 58', Fernandez N. , Garcia A. ,
  • 66', Cabrera J. 🟨,
  • 67', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 69', Olivera M. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 69', David Terans , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 76', Trasante G. , Asconeguy D. ,
  • 76', Sosa I. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Fernandez L. ,
  • 82', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lemmo I. , Silva G. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Lucas Hernandez ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
71.6%
Draw
18.1%
Progreso
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.1% 10.8%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.3
(1.29)
5.11
(5.41)
9.36
(8.62)
7.3%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Peñarol (1.90) (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
    • Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Progreso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:12. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:3
    26.11.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:5
    22.06.2024 Progreso - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:2
    23.05.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso 3:1
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol ✔ 15112230:121835
    2Nacional1586125:111427
    3Montevideo City1583428:171127
    4Boston River1568126:101626
    5Cerro Largo1574419:14525
    6Liverpool M1574419:16325
    7CA Cerro1573513:13024
    8Defensor Sp1572613:16-323
    9Danubio1563618:13521
    10Progreso1553717:23-618
    11Racing Montevideo1545614:22-817
    12Juventud154478:13-516
    13River Plate1535712:18-614
    14Miramar1534817:26-913
    15Plaza Colonia1522119:26-178
    16Wanderers1514107:25-187

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Penarol is Qualified for Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs )