Peniche vs Mortágua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Peniche - Mortágua
Result
4:0
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
25
Total shots
59
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
08
Corner Kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 77', 2 - 0, ,
  • 85', 3 - 0, ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
41.9%
Draw
30.7%
Mortágua
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 29.1% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 29.8% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Peniche - Mortágua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    3.33
    (3.5)
    9.5%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).
    • In recent matches, Peniche has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mortágua is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Peniche has had a series of home games.
    • Peniche could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Mortágua were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Mortágua - Peniche 0:0
    27.10.2024 Peniche - Mortágua 3:1
    28.01.2024 Mortágua - Peniche 2:0
    17.09.2023 Peniche - Mortágua 3:1
    Latest results of Peniche
    28.09.2025 Fatima - Peniche 3:1
    21.09.2025 Peniche - 1 Dezembro 4:5
    14.09.2025 Peniche - Samora Correia 1:0
    10.08.2025 Peniche - Marinhense 0:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache550012:3915
    2Naval 1893640213:8512
    3Uniao Da Serra632113:7611
    4Peniche53029:639
    5Mortagua62224:7-38
    6SB Castelo Branco62228:808
    7Lajense52219:638
    8Marinhense62225:6-18
    9SC Lusitania52128:627
    10Os Marialvas621310:1007
    11Fatima52125:6-17
    12Samora Correia61142:8-64
    13Oliveira Hospital51133:5-24
    14Electrico60155:20-151

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