Result
2:4
20/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Pintore M. ⚽, Dulcetti M. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Domini T. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Ben Kacem M. ⚽, Gjonaj A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 60', 2 - 2, Ben Kacem M. ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 3, Belward S. ⚽, Evaristi M. (A),
- 76', 2 - 4, Ben Kacem M. ⚽,
- 90+2', Santi F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pennarossa 28.3% | Draw 26.9% | Fiorentino 44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Pennarossa - Fiorentino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↑ (2.99) |
3.35 ↓ (3.49) |
2.01 ↓ (2.14) |
11% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pennarossa - Fiorentino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Fiorentino could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pennarossa won against Fiorentino?
Pennarossa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Pennarossa?
Fiorentino has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - Fiorentino were as follows:
14.09.2025
Fiorentino
-
Pennarossa
2:0
23.02.2025
Pennarossa
-
Fiorentino
1:0
27.10.2024
Fiorentino
-
Pennarossa
4:0
21.01.2024
Fiorentino
-
Pennarossa
4:0
15.09.2023
Pennarossa
-
Fiorentino
0:1
Latest results of Pennarossa
Latest results of Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)