Pennarossa vs Fiorentino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
20/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Pintore M. , Dulcetti M. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 0, Domini T. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Ben Kacem M. , Gjonaj A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 60', 2 - 2, Ben Kacem M. ,
  • 62', 2 - 3, Belward S. , Evaristi M. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 4, Ben Kacem M. ,
  • 90+2', Santi F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pennarossa
28.3%
Draw
26.9%
Fiorentino
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 26.3% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 25.6% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Fiorentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Pennarossa - Fiorentino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (2.99)
    3.35
    (3.49)
    2.01
    (2.14)
    11%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Pennarossa - Fiorentino?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Fiorentino could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pennarossa - Fiorentino were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Fiorentino - Pennarossa 2:0
    23.02.2025 Pennarossa - Fiorentino 1:0
    27.10.2024 Fiorentino - Pennarossa 4:0
    21.01.2024 Fiorentino - Pennarossa 4:0
    15.09.2023 Pennarossa - Fiorentino 0:1
    Latest results of Pennarossa
    17.01.2026 Domagnano - Pennarossa 1:1
    14.12.2025 Pennarossa - Cosmos 1:1
    07.12.2025 Pennarossa - Cailungo 2:0
    30.11.2025 Murata - Pennarossa 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentino
    17.01.2026 Fiorentino - Tre Penne 0:6
    20.12.2025 Fiorentino - Murata 3:0
    13.12.2025 Faetano - Fiorentino 0:3
    30.11.2025 AC Libertas - Fiorentino 0:1
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Virtus23175150:113956
    2Tre Fiori23175148:93956
    3Tre Penne23165250:133753
    4Folgore23144551:242746
    5La Fiorita23138249:212842
    6Domagnano23116647:222539
    7Cosmos2398625:16935
    8Fiorentino231031023:35-1233
    9Juvenes/Dogana2377928:31-328
    10Libertas23671027:47-2025
    11San Giovanni23491017:31-1421
    12Pennarossa23561223:45-2221
    13Faetano23541418:43-2519
    14San Marino Academy U2223251617:48-3111
    15Cailungo23241715:48-3310
    16Murata23141815:59-44-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)