New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers, Australian NRL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers
Result
8:24
13/09/2025 at 02:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2, Fox League, Nine, NRL
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
14
Conversion Goals
14
Conversion Goal Attempts
24
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
67100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
158194
Metres Run With Ball
13931752

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 6)
  • 8', Boyd T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 28', Papali'i I. (Try),
  • 29', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 18)
  • 47', Schneider B. (Try),
  • 48', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Halasima L. (Try),
  • 54', Boyd T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', McLean C. (Try),
  • 67', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', To'o B. (Try),
  • 73', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


New Zealand Warriors
24.8%
Draw
3.6%
Penrith Panthers
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 3.8% 67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9% 3.8% 67.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (3.2)
    24.46
    (24.67)
    1.29
    (1.38)
    7.9%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 42.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Penrith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Penrith is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 302:528. (average 15.1:26.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New Zealand won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 176:239. (average 17.6:23.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers were as follows:
    21.06.2025 New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers 18:28
    18.05.2024 New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers 22:20
    09.09.2023 Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors 32:6
    06.05.2023 New Zealand Warriors - Penrith Panthers 6:18
    26.08.2022 Penrith Panthers - New Zealand Warriors 46:12
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2