Result
5:0
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (453/537) | 71% (208/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.67 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (453/537) | 71% (208/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/55) | 23% (11/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (70/98) | 45% (38/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 3.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Lisbie K. ⚽,
- 33', Powell J. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
- 40', 2 - 0, Morgan J. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 58', Sousa L. ↓, Biancheri G. ↑,
- 58', Cover B. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
- 65', Mills H. ↓, Mendy J. ↑,
- 65', Morgan J. ↓, Sykut P. ↑,
- 65', Aderoju O. ↓, Kamara D. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Kamara D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Hayes C. 🟨,
- 74', Watmore D. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 75', Baptiste J. 🟨,
- 76', 4 - 0, Kamara D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Hayes C. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
- 77', Okagbue D. ↓, Mendonca L. ↑,
- 81', 5 - 0, Collins A. ⚽, Frith D. (A),
Chances of winning
Peterborough United
44.7% | Draw
25.3% | Rotherham United
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Peterborough United - Rotherham United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.89) |
3.71 ↑
(3.55) |
3.13 ↓
(3.55) |
6.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Rotherham United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Peterborough United will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Peterborough United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
- Peterborough is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rotherham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Inactive)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lees T.
(Inactive)
Leonard H.
(Inactive)
O'Brien-Brady D.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rotherham: Douglas H.
(Injury)
Hall D.
(Inactive)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Spence K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Mendy J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Gore D.
(Inactive)
McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
Yearwood D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Rotherham United?
Peterborough United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Peterborough United?
Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Rotherham United were as follows:
01.01.2026
Rotherham United
-
Peterborough United
0:2
03.05.2025
Rotherham United
-
Peterborough United
2:1
12.10.2024
Peterborough United
-
Rotherham United
3:3
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Rotherham United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 71:34 | 37 | 81 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 76 |
| 3 | Bolton | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 55:38 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 59 |
| 6 | Reading | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 57:50 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 58:48 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 40:38 | 2 | 57 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 55:41 | 14 | 56 |
| 10 | Plymouth | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 57:53 | 4 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 51:48 | 3 | 54 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 59:59 | 0 | 50 |
| 13 | Peterborough | 37 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 56:51 | 5 | 49 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 49 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 46 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 53:62 | -9 | 45 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 40:59 | -19 | 44 |
| 18 | Burton | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:53 | -11 | 43 |
| 19 | Exeter | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42:50 | -8 | 42 |
| 20 | Wigan | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 41 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 35:55 | -20 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32:52 | -20 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28:49 | -21 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
